The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 12:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARX Jackson L. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
2 ZHEN Ethan - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 XU Andy P. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
3 GUO Justin - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
5 XU Ethan - - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
6 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 2% 11% 34% 38% 14%
7 LIU Derek - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
8 SHAO Eric 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
9 LIN James G. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
10 XIE Brandon 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
11 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
12 LI Aaron - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
13 ONIK Ari N. 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
14 LIEW Jeremy K. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
15 LEE Jonah 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
16 CHENG Ethan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
17 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
18 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 8% 37% 39% 14% 1%
19 HONG Logan 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
20 LEE Brendan 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
21 AROUH Dylan 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% -
22 FRUSZTAJER Miklosh 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
23 CATINO William 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
24 BOSCO-SCHMIDT Tyler 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
25 ZELTSER Eric S. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.