Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 12:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINKOPF William O. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
2 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 1%
3 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
6 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
7 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
8 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 LE Vyn A. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% 1%
10 WAN Jason 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
11 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 21%
12 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
13 BING Charles 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
14 BAE Kevin 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
15 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
16 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
17 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
18 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
19 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
19 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5% -
21 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 9%
22 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 90% 52% 10% -
23 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 2%
24 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
25 ZHANG Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
26 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
27 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
28 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 10%
29 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
30 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
31 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
32 ZHAO Jesse 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
33 HOWARD Michael 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
34 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
35 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
36 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
37 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
38 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
39 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9%
40 KWON Ethan 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
41 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
42 PAE Brian L. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
43 QI Steve 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
44 JIN Dennis H. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
45 YAN Edward Tianshuo 100% 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
46 LI Eric 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
47 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1%
48 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 1%
49 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
50 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
51 AHN Jun 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6% -
52 BAO Wenyuan 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% - -
53 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% -
54 GUO Sean 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
55 HANSEN William 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% - -
56 GAO Sean 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
57 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
58 WU Alexander 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
59 VALENTON Timothy 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
60 MORGESON Colin 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
61 VITKAUSKAS Justin G. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
62 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
63 HU Jason 100% 78% 33% 8% 1% - -
64 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 92% 60% 19% 2% - -
65 GAO Anthony 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% - -
66 CHAN Justin D. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
67 WU Jerry 100% 99% 90% 50% 10% 1%
68 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 73% 24% 3% - -
69 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
70 BASAK Ashton R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3% -
71 SKELLY Aidan K. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
72 PELT Ethan T. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
73 BOYLE Aiden P. 100% 64% 20% 2% - - -
74 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
75 GALBAN Matthias L. 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% -
76 WANG Mason 100% 77% 31% 4% - -
77 PROMRAT Pete 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
78 LI Ayren 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
78 GAO Michael 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
80 DE JAGER Robert 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.