Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
2 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
3 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
5 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
6 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
7 CHOI Aleksey 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% -
8 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
10 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
11 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
12 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
13 CHOE Andrew 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
14 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
15 CAO Albert 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
16 BEAUCHESNE Rudy 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
17 SHEN Max 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
18 MATTO Edward J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
19 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
19 KNOX James 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
21 LI Jeffrey 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
22 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
23 SERAFIN Ben 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
24 CAO Brad 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
24 GONG Haixiang 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
26 SHEAFFER Ethan 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
27 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
28 HU Robert J. 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
29 NORDQUIST Zach 100% 42% 9% 1% - -
30 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.