The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 23, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
2 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
3 ZHAO Adam - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
3 ZENG Rick - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 SHENG Dalton - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
6 ZHANG Lucas 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
7 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
8 CHEN Ethan - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
9 SION Andrew 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
10 WEI JR Shan - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
11 TOOMRE Kai 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
12 TANG Royce 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
13 MOREA Anderson 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
14 CHO Xzander 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
15 SUNDSTROM Wren 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
16 HUANG Jinyao 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
17 XIE Jicheng 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
18 SHANNON Jack 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
19 BLACK Henry 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
20 SICAT Justin 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
21 WONG Jacob W. 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
22 POLEBOYINA Amrit 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
23 WANG Ancen 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
24 BAKSHI Aman 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
25 MCLENDON Dario 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.