USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Women's Épée

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - - 2% 19% 79%
2 GU Sarah - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
3 FALLON Kyle R. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
5 XIAO Ruien - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
6 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
7 REID Anousheh - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
8 YIN Julia - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
9 NGUYEN Kira - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
10 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
11 LUO Ashley - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
12 SMOTRITSKY Mia - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
13 XUAN Nicole J. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
14 NGUYEN Tallulah - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
15 PADHYE Tanishka - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
16 SWENSON Nikita G. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
17 KORFONTA Jolie - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
18 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
19 QI Jarynne Valerie - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
20 BARG Daniella - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
21 ELSTON Sophia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
22 MEHROTRA Anya - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
23 SPRINGER Sierra - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
24 PEHLIVANI Zara - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
25 HONG Elaine - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
26 AI Amy - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
27 BUSH Emma - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
28 REMEZA Alissa - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
29 RUNIONS Emersyn - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
30 LEE Natasha - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
31 CHIRASHNYA Noya - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
32 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
33 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
34 SHIV Avni - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
35 YAO Melinda - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 17%
36 YU Nicole J. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
37 WANG Ziqi - 2% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2%
38 ZHANG Tina Tianyi - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
39 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
40 HESS Heidi J. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
40 SHU Youshan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
42 WITTER Catherine A. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
43 BECKMAN Ana 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
44 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
45 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
46 MALLAVARPU saanvi 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
47 CALDERA Lexi I. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
48 BENZAN India 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
48 KORKIN Alice - 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
50 LEE yat ching - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
51 LEE Yedda - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21% 1%
52 GUJJA Misha - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
53 CHA Eugenie - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
54 SU Evelyn - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 1%
55 DESAI Meera P. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
56 YAO Yilin - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
57 SONG Angela - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
58 BEAVER Ava - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
59 RANDLEMAN Teresa - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
60 SMUK Alexandra S. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
61 JAKEL Alysa C. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% -
62 CARRIER Meredith 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
63 BARBARA Camille - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
64 HUANG Lanlan 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
65 CAFASSO Natalya 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
66 ZHANG Victoria R. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
67 FURMAN Maria - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
68 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
69 KUMAR Eva 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6% -
70 HSIU Elizabeth 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
71 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
72 ANDERSON Claire - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
72 YANG Alisa - - 1% 9% 31% 44% 14%
74 ZHU Serene M. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
74 MUELLER Emma M. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
76 YOU Emily - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 2%
77 PEELER Julia - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
78 NAIR Supriya 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
79 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
80 MUN Brianna K. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
81 LEE Olivia - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
82 PRIHODKO Nina 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
83 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
84 CHANG Celine A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
85 LIN Elaine - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
86 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
87 SHARMA Sanvi - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24% 2%
88 XIONG Angelica 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
89 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
90 PHUKAN Indra 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
91 KUKVA Taisiya - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
92 HAFEEZ Hania - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
93 WONG Alexandra R. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
94 LI Suri 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
95 LI Fei 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
96 FENG ge - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
97 ENRILE Erica 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
98 GUO Luxi 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
99 NEMETH Katherine - - 5% 22% 42% 28% 3%
99 GUAN Isabella 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
101 SUN Renee R. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
102 KIM Jayna - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
103 SAID Riana 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
104 JUN Bomie 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
105 LAN Alice S. - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
106 XU Katelyn 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
107 LEE REGINA - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
108 KIM Zoe L. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
109 ZHAO Alina 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
110 TYTELL Elizabeth 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
111 SENYUVA Su 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
112 CHOI Grace - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
113 GEVA Eliana 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
114 POPOVICI Alina B. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
115 NEELAM Neha 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
116 WANG Angelina 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
117 YAO KATHARINE - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
118 BARG Margaret 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
119 PANT Anisha - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
119 LIU Nicole - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
121 LIN Ashley 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
122 YOU Isabel B. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
123 KUMAR Anusha 18% 41% 29% 10% 2% - -
124 NGUYEN Jolie T. 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
125 SCHMITT Harper 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
126 WATTANAKIT Anda 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
127 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
128 HU Chelsea 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
129 SHEN Yongen 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
130 POON Desiree 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
131 SIMHADRI Meghana 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1% -
132 CANNING Charlotte 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
133 TANG Elaine 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
134 REKEDA Anna 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
135 NGUYEN Ashley L. 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
136 BEAVER Kaitlyn 3% 18% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
137 VICKERMAN Lilly 11% 37% 35% 15% 3% - -
138 PULLEN Ayah 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
139 WONG Caitlin 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
139 VARAN Kateryna 42% 44% 12% 2% - - -
141 VICKERMAN Sofia 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
142 MAGALSKI Mary 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
143 DALEY Keira 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
144 HAU Olivia 1% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
145 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
146 HAYNES Antonia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
146 WANG Jessie 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
148 PARK Avery 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
149 LEEDER Elizabeth 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
150 DUONG Zoey 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
150 LEWIS Rachel 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
152 YIN Gabriela 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
153 NELSON Grace E. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
154 MIINEA Elena 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
155 LEE Camilla 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
156 OLORVIDA Isabella 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
157 CHANG Ella 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
158 MACEY Hadley 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
159 MIRZA Annoshae 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
160 CHANG Abigail 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
161 NIEMAN Aubrey 21% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
162 MCKENNA Analise 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
163 VICKERMAN Aspen 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
164 XU Celina 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
165 CHUANG Ramona 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
166 LIN Ariel 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
167 DAVIS Elisabeth 77% 21% 2% - - - -
168 LEE Samantha X. 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
169 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
170 CHIRASHNYA Mika 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
171 LAI Amanda 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
172 HASIM Eurietta 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
172 PINNAMANENI Drithi < 1% 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
174 LIANG Jingjing 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
175 DONDISCH Andrea 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
176 BLANCO Ariia 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
177 ZHENG Linden 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
177 BHATT Anisha 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
177 MIHILL Margaret 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
177 FRAGER Soleil 17% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
181 PATIL Amulya 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.