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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Luao - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
3 LI Eric - - - - 5% 33% 61%
3 LI Richard - - - - 8% 91%
5 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 9% 45% 45%
6 WU Alexander - - - - 3% 25% 72%
7 LO Conrad - - - - 7% 93%
8 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 1% 18% 81%
10 WYMAN Julian - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
12 LIN James G. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
13 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - - 5% 30% 65%
14 WONG Garrick G. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
15 CO Dylan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
15 SISINNI Riccardo - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
17 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
17 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
19 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
20 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
21 WANG Winston - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
22 GOOR Julian - - - 4% 32% 64%
23 LEE Jonah - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
23 LEE Jacob J - - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
25 SIMA Congyu Josh - 1% 8% 30% 43% 19%
26 TANG Owen S. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
27 SONG Austin - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
28 MIALL Steven A. - 1% 7% 32% 43% 17%
29 MA Andrew - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
30 CULLIVAN Justice - - - - 2% 23% 74%
31 LI Matthew - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
32 MIN Eric - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
33 SIU Aiden - - - - 4% 29% 67%
34 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
35 QIAN Jason H. - - 1% 9% 32% 46% 12%
36 DINSAY Kristjan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
37 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
38 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 3% 21% 39% 29% 7%
39 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
40 LEE Brendan - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 2%
41 PO Oliver - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
42 WECHSLER Jacob - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
43 ROSE Ben - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
44 LIN Michael - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
44 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
46 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
47 PONS Diego - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
48 JIANG Owen - - - - 6% 33% 60%
48 HOSKERI Anik S. - - - 7% 33% 53% 7%
50 XU Andy P. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
51 LEE Lukas - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
52 VALOUEV Aleksey - 1% 8% 35% 41% 15%
53 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
54 WOO Christian - - - 2% 16% 52% 31%
55 LEE Christopher T. - - 2% 16% 40% 37% 5%
55 CANLAS Nathan - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
57 LI Aaron - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
58 LI Ayren 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
59 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
60 RAJ Jay - 2% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1%
60 WANG Mason - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
62 OH Jaden - - 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
63 LLIDO Soren - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
64 NICOLETTI Luca - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
65 DAI Jonathan T. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
66 LEE Aidan - - - - 3% 24% 73%
66 PAN Henry - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
68 CHOI Ethan - - 4% 22% 43% 27% 5%
69 SHEN Owen - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
70 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
71 HUANG Eythan - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
72 DERRICK Blake - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7% -
73 ZHENG Zhe - - 3% 15% 37% 39% 6%
74 CHEN Justin K. - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
75 FEDELI Francesco - 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 1%
76 KETTELLE John 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
77 LING Eddie - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
78 KIM Ryan Y. - - 6% 29% 51% 14%
79 WANG Ethan - 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
80 LIPPMAN Sam - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
81 GONG Benjamin - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
82 KIAYIAS Aris - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
83 TANG Albert - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
84 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
85 ZHANG Aaron - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 7%
86 TIKHAEV Alexander - 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
87 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
88 LIU Derek - - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6%
89 WONG Antonio - 1% 9% 32% 40% 18% 1%
90 ANDRIC Borna - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
91 MASSIMINO Andrew 3% 28% 41% 22% 5% - -
92 ZHAO Adam 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
93 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 6%
94 NICOLL William 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
95 YAP Nathan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
96 ZHEN Ethan - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
97 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 4% 24% 46% 27%
98 TANG August L. 1% 11% 32% 39% 17% -
99 MA Bryant - 5% 25% 43% 25% 1%
100 ARIZA Abraham J. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
100 WANG Brayden 1% 9% 31% 41% 18% 1%
102 SONG Noel 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
103 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
104 PARK Rion 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
105 GUO Justin - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
106 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 1%
107 LYNCH Owen C. - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
108 LIU Ethan - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
109 AGRAWAL Niki 4% 31% 40% 20% 4% - -
110 NGUYEN Martin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
111 PARK Gabriel - 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
112 NGAI Julian 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
113 SHAGIDANYAN German - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
114 ZHOU Leon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
115 WONG Jackson - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
116 TSAO Lukas - - 6% 26% 41% 24% 4%
117 LI Samuel - 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
118 WU Alber Y. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
119 PARRISH Evan 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
120 PARK Sky - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% -
121 LI Jett - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
122 CHEN Ethan 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
123 WANG Brian 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
124 SHENG Dalton - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
125 DESERANNO Leander - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
126 KAPOOR Aayan 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
127 YAO Bradley - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
128 REICHEL Ezra 4% 41% 39% 14% 2% -
129 MCISAAC Finn 12% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
130 ROZALSKI Eli 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
131 GERRISH William - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
132 MORROW Brenden - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 2%
133 LEE Dylan 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
134 STRINGER David 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
135 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 1% 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
136 LEE Eugene - 4% 25% 44% 23% 3% -
137 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
138 KIM Daniel Y. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
139 LO Preston - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
140 ALLEN Henry G. - 1% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
141 TUAN Evan - 1% 10% 35% 42% 12% -
142 EDISON Ansel 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
143 WONG Evan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
144 TONKOVICH Ryan 1% 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
145 TANG Terry - 2% 18% 39% 31% 8% -
145 RASMUSSEN Sage - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
147 CHOE Jayden K. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
147 DENG David 8% 41% 36% 13% 2% - -
149 WU Alistair 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
150 SUAREZ Adrian - 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
151 CHUANG Oscar 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
152 KIM Brian 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
153 MAO Lucas - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
154 KONG Luculentus X. 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1% -
155 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2%
156 UNGERER Roger M. 5% 30% 45% 17% 2% -
156 TALASILA Arush 10% 42% 36% 11% 1% -
158 CHENG Ethan 1% 13% 38% 37% 10% 1%
159 LI Allen 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
160 JURMAN Therin 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
161 TWEMLOW Sacha 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
162 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 1% 10% 30% 40% 19% 1%
163 CHEN Kyle P. 2% 18% 42% 31% 6% -
164 SHAO Eric - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
164 WANG Julang 1% 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
166 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 2% 30% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
167 SRINIVASAN Vedant 4% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
168 KIM Harrison 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
168 PETERSON Matthew 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
170 LAO Kevin 7% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
171 EDWARDS Maxon 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
172 RUBIN Max 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
173 YI William - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
174 CHO Xzander 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
175 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
175 VANOYEN Dominick 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
177 MOE Annan 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
178 FANG Jaden 3% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
179 SENIC Lucas - 4% 17% 35% 32% 10% 1%
180 LEVY Jacob - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
181 XU Ethan 1% 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
182 BLACK Zachary 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
182 YU William 21% 53% 23% 3% - - -
184 MONTGOMERY Georgie 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
185 TULYAG Azim 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
186 LIU Ryan 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
187 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
188 NOFZIGER Bennett 2% 15% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
188 RAJPAL Alastair 2% 14% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
190 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
191 DULAI Angad 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
192 TSAY Jordan R. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
193 LU Kevin 8% 47% 35% 9% 1% -
194 HIGGASON Hugh 55% 37% 7% - - -
195 NAIDL Josiah 62% 32% 6% 1% - -
196 KENNEDY Michael 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
197 LORENZO Alejandro - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
197 ZENG Rick 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
199 ZOU Yuming - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
200 ZHENG Harrison 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
201 LEE Ethan 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
202 CHOI Benjamin 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
203 CHEW Aaron 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
204 DHOKTE Neev 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
205 ZHOU Ryan 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
206 RIPA Joseph K. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
207 TAMIYA Masao 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
208 ORNELAS Matteo 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
209 JIA Jing Yu 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
210 XU Dinghui Ryan 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
211 BLEIL Tyler 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
211 LE Jacob H. 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
213 QUINTERO Julian 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
214 BARRETT Austin 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
215 GHEDINI Luca - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
216 GUTH Joseph - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
217 YUE Jackson 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
217 LIU ERIC 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
217 LEE Charles T 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
220 GADIYARAM Madhav 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
221 LINDEMANN Marc 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
222 CHEN Matthew 28% 49% 19% 3% - - -
223 YANG Charles 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
223 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
225 KOE Beckett 3% 20% 46% 26% 5% - -
226 BAI Brian 72% 26% 2% - - - -
227 MEMMOTT Ben 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
227 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
229 KUANG Aaron 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
230 BELOKON Sammy 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
231 FAN Yuchen 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
232 SHAW Spencer 18% 50% 27% 5% - - -
233 ROBINSON Ezekiel 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
234 HOLCOMB Alexander 86% 14% 1% - - -
235 UHLIG Cole 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
236 PALMA Nathan Anthony 11% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
236 SHAPIRO Leon 11% 45% 35% 8% 1% -
238 TJON Calum 10% 36% 35% 16% 3% - -
239 CHENG Austyn 22% 51% 23% 4% - - -
240 DANIEL Nikith 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
241 MILES Greyson 43% 46% 11% 1% - - -
241 CHAN Joseph 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
241 BHAN Amar 75% 23% 2% - - - -
244 HASHMI Mushaf 4% 31% 56% 9% 1% - -
245 GORDON William L. 24% 52% 21% 3% - - -
245 ZHANG Graham 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
245 LOCKWOOD Jacob 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
248 LUAN Tian 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
248 HICKEY Connor 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
250 PAN Edwin 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
251 WINGLER Cole 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
252 BANKA Keshav 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
253 SUN Neo 49% 41% 10% 1% - - -
253 SCHUMANN Benjamin 73% 24% 3% - - - -
255 YANG Ethan J. 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
255 BOCKSNICK John Robert 69% 27% 4% - - - -
255 BARDEN Cooper 75% 22% 3% - - - -
255 VENZON Gavin 89% 10% - - - - -
255 LIN Kevin 65% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.