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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC /RCC #7

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Berto Center / also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Luao - - - - - 11% 88%
2 ZHENG zhe - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 4% 18% 41% 36% 2%
3 NGUYEN Martin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
5 STRINGER David 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
6 YAO Bradley - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
7 TANG August L. - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
8 SPINA Joseph B. - 2% 12% 37% 38% 12%
9 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
10 ALLEN Henry G. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
11 TANG Albert - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
12 ZHEN Ethan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
13 YI William 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
14 SENIC Lucas - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13% -
15 EDWARDS Maxon 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
16 RUSSELL Paul 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
17 TSAO Lukas - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
18 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
19 LIU Ethan - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
20 VANOYEN Dominick 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
21 ZENG Rick 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
22 MAO Lucas - 2% 14% 39% 36% 10%
23 KLOTZ Isaiah - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
24 GUTH Joseph - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
25 LIU ERIC 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
26 DESERANNO Leander 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
27 ZHAO Nathan - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
28 MCISAAC Finn 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
29 ZHANG Alex 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
30 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2%
31 KIM Brian - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
32 CHO Xzander 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
33 TAN Aidan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
34 MASSIMINO Andrew 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
35 TSAY Jordan R. - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
36 SLUSHER Gideon 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
37 CHUANG Oscar 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
38 RAJ Jay 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7%
39 ZHANG Lucas 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% -
40 REAUME Nate 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
41 DUNLAP Ian 25% 44% 25% 5% - -
42 LIN Kevin 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
43 TANG Alexander L. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
44 PARRISH Evan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
45 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
46 KIM Daniel 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
47 ZHAO Adam 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
47 FINDLAY Zachary 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
49 FOGELSON Hugh 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
49 NAIDL Josiah 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
51 HICKEY Connor 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
52 CHUNG Ian 35% 48% 15% 2% - - -
53 MANGIONE Alexander 52% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.