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Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HERMANSON David B. D D V V D D V V V V V V 3.6 2 -1.6
2 MIRANDA Matteo V D D D V V V V V V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
3 LEE JoonWon V D D D D D V V V V D 2.5 1 -1.5
3 HONG James D V D D D V V V V D 2.5 1 -1.5
5 KENT Dwain V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
6 ZENG Zihan V V D V D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
7 MICKELSON Jacob P. D V D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
8 PAN Tristan V V V D D D V V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
9 ECKEL Anson J. V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
10 KRZYSIAK David F. V V V V V D V D 2.7 5 +2.3
11 LOESER Jacob V D V V V V D 1.1 4 +2.9
12 PAN Colin D V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
13 EVANS Grant V V V D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
14 CAVRELL Nicholas V V D V V D V D 2.3 4 +1.7
15 LI Chenyu V D D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
16 MA Bochen D V V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
17 MILLER Lance W. V V V V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
18 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. V V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
19 BOUMEDIENNE Sami V V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
20 CIOLINO Jacob F. V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
21 JENSEN Daniel G. V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
22 ZRELAK Teig V V V D D V D 4.5 4 -0.5
23 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick D V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
24 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. V V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
25 CHITU Andreas C. D D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
26 O'BRIEN Timothy S. V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
27 SPINA Joseph B. D D V V V D V D 3.0 3 -
28 MADSEN Jr Eric W. D D V D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
29 LANDIS Geoffrey A. D D D V V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
30 BARTCH Ethan L. D D V V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
31 DICKSON Tim D D D D V V D 1.8 1 -0.8
32 ASGARALLY Anthony D D D V D V D 3.3 1 -2.3
33 GOHSMAN Maxwell D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
34 KRAJ Pawel D V V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
35 AGARWAL Adheesh V V D D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
36 YANG Pengfei V D V D D D 3.1 2 -1.1
37 PAINE Evan J. D D D V D V D 3.7 2 -1.7
38 HU Anton V D D D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
39 TIRADO Giancarlo V D D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
40 THRASHER Andrew W. D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
40 CHEN Zhong Han D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
42 PACK Josh D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
44 BANDALA Alex D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.