The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 31%
3 CROMWELL Keira 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
3 KO Claire 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
5 HAN Katherine 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
6 BURBERRY Livia 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 17% 1%
7 MANDZY Athena 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
8 TAN Dorathy 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
9 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
10 STONE Sydney 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
11 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
12 SOLOMIE Sabina 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
13 PHILLIPS Hattie 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
14 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
15 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
15 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% -
17 MALONE Ella 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
18 STINNETT Amelia 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
19 HERNANDEZ VEGA Mya 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
20 MORSE Katherine 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
21 DESERANNO Seren 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
22 TOMASI Samantha 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
23 JIN Sophia 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
23 AADHI Hansika 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
23 ZHAO Aimee 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
26 KUMBRINK Emily 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
27 KAISER Katherine 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
28 SCHMALTZ Savannah 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
29 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
30 HANNAH Abigail 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
31 SEO odelia 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
32 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
33 SHEBL Nadia 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
34 LATIFI Fara 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.