The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Leander - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
2 DOELL Ethan - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
3 ZHAO Nathan - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
3 ZHENG Marcus - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
5 LU Alex - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
6 HICKEY Dylan - 2% 21% 51% 24% 2%
7 OZAWA Taishi 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
8 TAN Charlie 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
9 WENGER Rowan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
10 ALVA Anmol - - 1% 12% 51% 36%
11 MCGRATH Milo 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
12 RODRIGUEZ Patrick - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 2%
13 LAKHTER Maximillian 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
14 MAZAHERI Fletcher 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
15 WANG Caleb 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
16 LATORRE Leonardo 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
17 FANG Haoyu - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
18 MARTIN Wesley 4% 28% 45% 19% 2% -
19 ZHENG Lerui - 1% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
20 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
21 BILLIET Greyson 52% 40% 8% 1% - -
22 RZEPKA Johnathan 15% 47% 32% 6% - -
23 ROSENTHAL Hugh 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
23 KIM Yoonsoo 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
25 BEZBATCHENKO Jack 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.