The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - - 1% 14% 86%
2 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 LEE Natasha - - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
3 HANSEN Kira - - 8% 38% 54%
5 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - - - - 2% 23% 74%
6 CHA Eugenie - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
7 HEPLER Sarah - - 4% 19% 40% 34% 3%
8 LEANG Priscilla Y. - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
9 MARTYNOVA Diana 1% 6% 26% 41% 24% 2%
10 CHIRASHNYA Noya - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
11 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika - 4% 32% 49% 14%
12 OBENCHAIN Janel - - - 6% 29% 46% 19%
13 MONTOYA Amy C. - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
14 LI Charlotte - 9% 31% 38% 18% 2%
14 WILEY Erica - - - 4% 32% 63%
16 HOFMAN Haejung - 2% 18% 41% 31% 8%
17 SHARMA Sanvi - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
18 ENRILE Erica - 4% 19% 36% 31% 8% -
19 DAYAL Saahira 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
20 POON Desiree 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% - -
21 CHIEM Karen - 2% 11% 33% 38% 15%
22 LAI Amanda 9% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
23 HSIU Elizabeth - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
24 RICH Caroline B. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10% -
25 PRIMES Amanda M. - 11% 47% 35% 6%
26 LEE Kaitlyn M. - - 2% 11% 36% 44% 7%
27 CHANG Celine A. 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
28 DUONG Zoey - 12% 40% 35% 11% 1%
29 SCHOR Elisabeth 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
30 MOLLINIER Angel 14% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
31 XU Celina 15% 59% 23% 3% -
32 KAUR Jaap 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
33 RYAN Minhuey - - 2% 17% 44% 31% 6%
34 HAU Olivia 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
35 CHUNG Penelope 3% 21% 41% 29% 6% -
36 LIANG Jingjing - 8% 36% 40% 13% 2% -
37 CHIRASHNYA Mika - 9% 38% 39% 12% 1% -
38 SALISTRA Emilia 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
39 BHATT Anisha 3% 21% 41% 29% 6% -
40 BLOOMER Suzanne - 1% 6% 28% 51% 14%
41 WELBORN Kathrina 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
41 SRIVASTAVA Arya 5% 47% 37% 10% 1% -
43 MA Katelyn 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% -
44 KIM Eugenia (Eugenia Kim) 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
45 DALEY Keira 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
46 MYERS Cal 71% 27% 2% - -
47 MULAGARI Swarasai 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
48 MAGYARI-KOPE Ingrid 83% 16% 1% - - -
49 BANERJEE Eesha 69% 27% 3% - - - -
50 DING Grace 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
51 ESTRADA Ariana 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
52 CHEN Samantha 76% 21% 2% - - -
53 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
54 COHEN Shaina 11% 54% 29% 5% - - -
55 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
56 BENNETT Vienne 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.