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The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MACHULSKY Leehi V V D V V V V V V V V 5.8 5 -0.8
2 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. V D V V V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
3 LEE Natasha V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
3 HANSEN Kira V D V V V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
5 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
6 CHA Eugenie V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
7 HEPLER Sarah V V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
8 LEANG Priscilla Y. V V V V D V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
9 MARTYNOVA Diana V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
10 CHIRASHNYA Noya V V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
11 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika V V V D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
12 OBENCHAIN Janel D D V V V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
13 MONTOYA Amy C. D V D V V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
14 LI Charlotte V D D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
14 WILEY Erica V V D V D V V D 4.6 3 -1.6
16 HOFMAN Haejung V D V V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
17 SHARMA Sanvi V V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
18 ENRILE Erica V V V D V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
19 DAYAL Saahira V D V V V D V D 2.3 4 +1.7
20 POON Desiree V D D V V V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
21 CHIEM Karen V D V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
22 LAI Amanda V D V D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
23 HSIU Elizabeth V V D D V V D 3.0 3 -
24 RICH Caroline B. V V V D D D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
25 PRIMES Amanda M. D V D V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
26 LEE Kaitlyn M. D V V V D D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
27 CHANG Celine A. V D V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
28 DUONG Zoey V D V D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
29 SCHOR Elisabeth D D D V V V D 0.8 2 +1.2
30 MOLLINIER Angel D D D V V V D 1.4 2 +0.6
31 XU Celina D D D V V D 1.1 1 -0.1
32 KAUR Jaap D V D D D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
33 RYAN Minhuey V V D V D V D 4.2 4 -0.2
34 HAU Olivia D D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
35 CHUNG Penelope V V D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
36 LIANG Jingjing V D V V D D D 2.6 3 +0.4
37 CHIRASHNYA Mika V V D D V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
38 SALISTRA Emilia D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
39 BHATT Anisha V D D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
40 BLOOMER Suzanne D D V V D D 3.7 2 -1.7
41 WELBORN Kathrina V V D D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
41 SRIVASTAVA Arya D V D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
43 MA Katelyn D V V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
44 KIM Eugenia (Eugenia Kim) D V D D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
45 DALEY Keira D D D D V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
46 MYERS Cal V D D D D 0.3 1 +0.7
47 MULAGARI Swarasai D V D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
48 MAGYARI-KOPE Ingrid D D D V D D 0.2 1 +0.8
49 BANERJEE Eesha D D D D D V D 0.3 1 +0.7
50 DING Grace D D D D D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
51 ESTRADA Ariana D V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
52 CHEN Samantha D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
53 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
54 COHEN Shaina D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
55 GILLIS-PADE Neallie D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
56 BENNETT Vienne D D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.