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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
2 FALLON Kyle R. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
3 DOUGLAS Julia F. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
3 ZHANG Maya - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 YOON Julia J. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
6 EBRAHIM Ameera H. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
7 FAZZINI Angelina 3% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
8 WU Fan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
9 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
10 YAO Jillian - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
11 GUZZI Jordan 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
12 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
13 GAO Judy - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
14 MING Cynthia 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
15 MUTAKABBIR Amira - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
16 SAM Kayli - 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 2%
17 LU Junyao - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
18 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% < 1%
19 TOLBA Salma - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
20 YANG Chloe - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
21 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
22 LI Allison - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
23 BECCHINA Olivia - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
24 CORDERO Allison 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
25 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
26 BLAKE Caira - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
27 LI Alisha 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
27 CHANG Ella 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
29 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
30 MOK Chloe R. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
31 ZENG Katrina 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
32 OAKE Erica 2% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
33 APPLEBEE Andralyn 1% 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
34 PAN Michelle - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
35 GANGEMI Julia 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
36 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
36 XU Jessica 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
38 MATERASSO Carolyne - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
39 GOLDEN Danielle 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
40 NICOU Nicole 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
41 ZISCHKE Alexandra A. 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
42 HONG Elaine - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
43 LIU Alice 26% 44% 23% 5% - - -
44 GORTI Saumya 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
45 RAMANATHAN Eesha 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
46 SINGH Aayushi 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
47 BONAR Natalia 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
47 CHEN Kristina 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
49 MAMKIN Anastasia 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.