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American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 KOWALSKY Rachel A. V V V V V V V V V V V 5.0 6 +1.0
2 FALLON Kyle R. V V V V V D V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
3 DOUGLAS Julia F. V V V D V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
3 ZHANG Maya D V V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
5 YOON Julia J. V V D V V D V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
6 EBRAHIM Ameera H. V V D V D D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
7 FAZZINI Angelina V D D V D V V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
8 WU Fan D D D V V D V V V D 3.6 2 -1.6
9 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. V D V V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
10 YAO Jillian V V V V D V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
11 GUZZI Jordan V D V V D V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
12 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth D D V V V V V D 1.5 4 +2.5
13 GAO Judy D V V V V D V D 4.2 4 -0.2
14 MING Cynthia V V V D D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
15 MUTAKABBIR Amira V V V D D V V V D 4.0 4 -
16 SAM Kayli V V D V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
17 LU Junyao V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
18 GOLDBERG Sophie C. V V V V V V D 2.7 6 +3.3
19 TOLBA Salma V V V V V D D 4.2 5 +0.8
20 YANG Chloe D V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
21 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria V V V V D D D 4.1 4 -0.1
22 LI Allison V D V D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
23 BECCHINA Olivia V V D V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
24 CORDERO Allison V D D V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
25 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. V V D D V D V D 4.3 3 -1.3
26 BLAKE Caira D V D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
27 LI Alisha V D V V D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
27 CHANG Ella D D D V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
29 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. V V D D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
30 MOK Chloe R. D V D D V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
31 ZENG Katrina D D D V D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
32 OAKE Erica D D D D V D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
33 APPLEBEE Andralyn V D V V D D D 2.4 3 +0.6
34 PAN Michelle D V D D V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
35 GANGEMI Julia D D V V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
36 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. D D D V D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
36 XU Jessica D V D V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
38 MATERASSO Carolyne V D D D V D D 4.4 2 -2.4
39 GOLDEN Danielle D D V D D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
40 NICOU Nicole V V D D D D D 2.0 2 -
41 ZISCHKE Alexandra A. D D D V V D D 0.4 2 +1.6
42 HONG Elaine D V D D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
43 LIU Alice D D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
44 GORTI Saumya D D D D D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
45 RAMANATHAN Eesha D D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
46 SINGH Aayushi D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
47 BONAR Natalia D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
47 CHEN Kristina D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
49 MAMKIN Anastasia D D D D D D D 0.1 0 -0.1

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.