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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PROVENZA Hannah G. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
2 LIN Katie Y. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
3 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
3 LONG Cindy - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
5 LEE Kyungmin - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
6 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
7 MEHROTRA Anya - 1% 12% 39% 43% 6%
8 SAAL Anna 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
9 PAN Michelle 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
10 SCHMIDT Lori M. - - - 3% 26% 70%
11 ZHANG Tina - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 QUINLAN Nicole P. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
13 KULKARNI Diya - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
14 KIM Diane E. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
15 DICKINSON Alexandra P. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
16 GU Sarah - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
17 LAWSON Marie A. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
18 WANG Yumin - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
19 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
20 WU Fan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
21 CHOI Lyla - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
22 BROWN Amanda - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
23 SMUK Daria A. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
24 MARCHANT Sandra M. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
25 BIGGS Amelia F. 2% 23% 39% 26% 9% 1% -
26 CHAN Elizabeth - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
27 COBERT Helen G. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
28 LEE Olive - 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
29 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
30 MAO Amy 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
31 MIDGLEY Janice M. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
32 KOKES Ava < 1% 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
33 NI Emma - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
34 SAM Kayli 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
35 MCGEE Sophia 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
36 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
37 YOON Julia J. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
38 LU Junyao - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
39 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 2% 23% 43% 26% 5% -
40 PROKOP Jeannine A. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
41 BOWIE Charlotta 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
42 CORDERO Allison 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
43 DE JAGER Celine 1% 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
44 REITINGER Emilie B. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
45 JOHNSON Ryleigh E. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
46 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
47 MCCARTHY Grace E. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
48 SAFKO Liubov V. - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
49 HUH Anna 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
50 CHANG Ella 5% 34% 41% 17% 2% -
51 SINGH Aayushi 67% 29% 4% - - -
52 GANGEMI Julia 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
53 ZENG Katrina 7% 47% 35% 10% 1% - -
54 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
55 LIU Alice 80% 19% 2% - - - -
56 WALSH Katherine 72% 25% 3% - - - -
57 RIOS Donna B. 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
58 XU Jessica 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
59 NICOU Nicole 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
60 SAFI Rebecca 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
60 HELLER Erin 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
62 ROWLAND May 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.