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American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 PROVENZA Hannah G. V V V D V D V V V V V V 5.0 4 -1.0
2 LIN Katie Y. V D V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
3 DESAMOURS Sabine I. V V V V V V V V V 3.9 6 +2.1
3 LONG Cindy V V V V V D V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
5 LEE Kyungmin D V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
6 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. V D V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
7 MEHROTRA Anya V V V V D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
8 SAAL Anna V V V D V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
9 PAN Michelle V V V D V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
10 SCHMIDT Lori M. V V V D V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
11 ZHANG Tina D V V V V D V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
12 QUINLAN Nicole P. D V D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
13 KULKARNI Diya D V V V D V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
14 KIM Diane E. V V D D D V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
15 DICKINSON Alexandra P. V V D V D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
16 GU Sarah V D D D D V V V D 3.9 2 -1.9
17 LAWSON Marie A. V V V V V V D 3.8 6 +2.2
18 WANG Yumin V V D V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
19 KUZNETSOV Victoria V V V D V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
20 WU Fan V V V V V D V D 3.4 5 +1.6
21 CHOI Lyla V V V D D V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
22 BROWN Amanda V V V V D D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
23 SMUK Daria A. V V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
24 MARCHANT Sandra M. V D D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
25 BIGGS Amelia F. D V V V V D V D 2.2 4 +1.8
26 CHAN Elizabeth V V V D V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
27 COBERT Helen G. V V V D D D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
28 LEE Olive V V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
29 KIM Elizabeth Y. D V D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
30 MAO Amy D D D V D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
31 MIDGLEY Janice M. D D D V D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
32 KOKES Ava D D D D D D V D 2.8 0 -2.8
33 NI Emma V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
34 SAM Kayli V V V D V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
35 MCGEE Sophia V V V D V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
36 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. D V D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
37 YOON Julia J. D V V V V D D 4.0 4 -
38 LU Junyao D D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
39 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. D D V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
40 PROKOP Jeannine A. V D V V D D D 3.2 3 -0.2
41 BOWIE Charlotta V D D V V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
42 CORDERO Allison V D D V V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
43 DE JAGER Celine V D V D D D D 2.6 2 -0.6
44 REITINGER Emilie B. D D D V D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
45 JOHNSON Ryleigh E. D D D V V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
46 TOMASELLO Olivia E. D D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
47 MCCARTHY Grace E. D D V D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
48 SAFKO Liubov V. D V D D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
49 HUH Anna D D V V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
50 CHANG Ella D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
51 SINGH Aayushi D D D V D D 0.4 1 +0.6
52 GANGEMI Julia V D D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
53 ZENG Katrina D D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
54 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. D D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
55 LIU Alice D D D D V D D 0.2 1 +0.8
56 WALSH Katherine D D D V D D D 0.3 1 +0.7
57 RIOS Donna B. D D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
58 XU Jessica D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
59 NICOU Nicole D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
60 SAFI Rebecca D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
60 HELLER Erin D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
62 ROWLAND May D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.