Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TOLBA Abdelrahman | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | MOHAMED Murad | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | KNIZHNIK David | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 3 | JITTAN daniel | D V D V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 5 | KEE Andrew L. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 6 | WANG Winston | V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | MOHAMED Amir | V D V V D V | V V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 8 | ORLOV Dmitriy | D V V D D | V V V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 9 | JAUME Andrei | V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 10 | MAO Lucas | D V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 11 | GRISWOLD Abel B. | D V V V D V | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 12 | HAN Changhee | V D D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 13 | LIU Ryan | V D V D V | V D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 14 | KLYCZEK Andrew | D V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 15 | HUANG Eythan | V D V D | V V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 16 | EMENHEISER Conrad | D D D D D | V V D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 17 | GORDON Jacob | V D V V V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 18 | LEE Jonah | V D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 19 | TANG Albert | V V V V D | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 20 | LIGOS Alex M. | D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 21 | YAO Bradley | D D V V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 22 | SONG Austin | V V D V V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 23 | YAP Nathan | V D V V V D | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 24 | TANG August L. | D V V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 25 | TIKHAEV Alexander | V V V D D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 26 | LEE Brendan | D V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 27 | STURGIS Zachary C. | D V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 28 | BERNABE Rafael | V V D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 29 | SUN Henry | D V D D V D | V D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 30 | JIANG Bowang | D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 31 | SHEPHERD Conner M. | D D D D V | V D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 32 | KANDAGADLA Rishi | D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 33 | DUSZA Zachery | V D D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 34 | WAY Kashi M. | V D D V D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 35 | MCKINNEY Isaiah | D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 36 | LEVY Jacob | D V D D D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 | |
| 37 | TSAI Caleb | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 38 | GRIEB Oliver | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 39 | DUELL Jacob P. | D D D D V D | D | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 40 | POWELL Sean | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 41 | CHEN Zixuan | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 41 | SMOLICH Marat | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 43 | JOHN AYI Neville Pascal | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.