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USA Fencing Salt Lake City SJCC Tournament

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TIMOFEYEV Nicole	-	-	-	3%	20%	49%	28%
2	FREEDMAN Janna N.	-	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
3	ANDRES Katherine A.	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
3	SHOMAN Jenna	-	-	-	2%	16%	46%	36%
5	LIN Zhiyin	1%	15%	38%	33%	11%	1%
6	BEALE Zoe M.	-	-	1%	12%	43%	44%
7	KATZ Anat	-	1%	7%	24%	42%	26%
8	ERIKSON Kira R.	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
9	ULIBARRI Nevaeh L.	1%	8%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
10	XI Shining	-	8%	27%	38%	23%	5%
11	HURST Kennedy	-	2%	22%	47%	25%	4%
12	VESTEL Mira B.	-	-	3%	14%	36%	37%	10%
13	NEIBART Fiona	1%	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%
14	TANG Catherine H.	-	3%	16%	35%	35%	11%
15	FEARNS Zara A.	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	8%
16	SATHE Mehek S.	-	4%	16%	31%	31%	15%	3%
17	SATHYANATH Kailing	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	21%
18	SHOMAN Miriam	-	5%	23%	38%	27%	7%
19	MARSEE Samantha	-	-	5%	28%	48%	19%
20	BUHAY Rachel T.	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	20%	3%
21	CODY Alexandra C.	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	17%
22	BHATTACHARJEE Rhea	1%	10%	28%	37%	20%	4%
23	SHIH Christina	17%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
24	CHEN Xinyan	-	9%	31%	38%	18%	3%
25	ANDRES Charmaine G.	-	1%	8%	30%	42%	17%	2%
26	TSAI Anna A.	4%	23%	40%	25%	7%	1%	-
27	LU Amy	1%	7%	22%	34%	26%	9%	1%
28	REDDY Shreya	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
29	KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S.	15%	60%	22%	3%	-	-
30	NOVICK Mia J.	-	7%	31%	42%	18%	3%	-
31	SLOBODSKY Sasha L.	1%	6%	24%	38%	24%	6%	-
32	NG Sarah W.	-	10%	46%	35%	8%	1%
33	RAHIM Alina O.	5%	41%	39%	13%	2%	-	-
34	WHITESIDES Abigail E.	11%	31%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
35	KALISOVA Kristyna	1%	14%	40%	35%	10%	1%	-
36	TUNG Renee	40%	42%	16%	3%	-	-	-
37	KIM Sujin	14%	36%	33%	14%	2%	-
38	SUN Jialing	63%	31%	6%	-	-	-
39	PATEL Riya	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
40	RANGANATHAN Ruchi	86%	13%	1%	-	-	-
41	LEI Weixuan (Demi)	80%	18%	1%	-	-	-	-
42	YEN Natalie	10%	36%	37%	15%	3%	-	-
43	BARNOVITZ Maya	23%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
44	BELLANTONI Eva	72%	26%	2%	-	-	-
45	YERRAMILLI Kavya	5%	30%	39%	21%	5%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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