National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 YUN Jaesun - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
3 DODRILL Grant - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 PANDEY Neil - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
5 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
6 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
7 LILOV Neil - - - - 6% 32% 62%
8 LEE Justin - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
9 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
10 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
10 SO Hananiah - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
12 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
13 JI Cody Walter - - - - 5% 32% 63%
14 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 2%
15 CHAN Matthew - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
16 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
17 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
18 FENG Leo - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
19 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
20 QIU Nathan - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3%
21 DENG Andrew - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
22 WU Roger (Mengke) - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
23 ERMAKOV Lev - - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
24 PENG Bryan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% 1%
25 LINSKY Matthew - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
26 JIANG Anthony - - - 2% 15% 48% 36%
27 LIANG Connor - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
28 MORALES Jonathan - 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 4%
29 WANG Nicolas - 3% 20% 42% 29% 6%
30 WILSON Jude - - - 4% 25% 46% 25%
30 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
32 OH Triton - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
33 DENNER Lysander H. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
33 YUN Jake - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
33 CHON Taylor A. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
36 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17%
38 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
39 KIM Shaun M. - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
40 MARGULIES William - 1% 6% 24% 42% 24% 3%
41 WOOD Elden S. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
41 SOHN Kevin J. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
43 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
44 LI Minghan - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
45 BERMAN Luca - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
46 ZENG Noah - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
47 LO Konnor - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
48 YAO JINCHENG - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
48 GUFFEY Christopher - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
50 PAN Alex 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
51 XU William - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
52 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 2% 16% 48% 33%
53 NOBLE Daniel - - 1% 8% 33% 43% 16%
54 LIU Lawrence 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
55 HOLZ William A. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
56 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
57 WANG Robert - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
58 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
59 HONG Steven - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
60 PRIMUS Nazir 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
61 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 10% 38% 37% 13% 1%
62 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
63 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
64 KOTOV Leonid - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 2%
65 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
66 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
67 SIMAK Joseph P. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
68 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - 6% 24% 44% 26%
69 BERRIO Carter E. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
70 LEE Aydan J. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
71 BERGER Oliver - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
71 HOLZ Daniel - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
71 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
74 KIM Alexander M. - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
75 CHOI Silas - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
76 SHOMAN Zachary - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
77 LIN Daniel - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
78 CRAIG Samuel 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
79 WONG Ryan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
80 KIM Andrew H. - - 2% 11% 35% 43% 10%
81 TENG MATTHEW - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 1%
82 BYON Adrian - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
83 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
84 RAMANAN Govind - 2% 16% 45% 30% 7% 1%
85 YANG Ziyi - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
86 TIAGI Daniel 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
87 BAE Jason I. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
88 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
89 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 1% 15% 41% 34% 8%
90 LUTHRA Arjun - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
91 MORRILL Justin - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
92 TAO Jeffrey - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
93 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
93 CHUNG Connor 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
95 BEITEL Noah - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
96 BULL Anderson - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
97 GLOZMAN Justin 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
98 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
98 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
100 SKINNER Graham B. - 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
101 MUNGUIA Nathan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
102 YERRAMILLI Tejas 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 2% -
103 DALAL Rohan 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
104 SCHERER Max - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
105 CHEN Evan P. - 1% 12% 37% 38% 11%
106 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5%
107 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
108 PATEL Rayn 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
109 TANN Justin 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
110 KALPATHY Rohit 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
111 BROU Inkosi 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
112 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
113 KIM ELIJAH 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
114 SU Landon - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
115 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
116 KOGAN Nikita 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
117 NG Jonathan 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 3% -
118 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
119 SLASTIN Andrew - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
120 BOSITA Carson 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
121 ZHAO Zhiyu 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
122 KERCHER Alexander 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
123 YANG Dylan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
124 WANG Eric Y. - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
125 BYON Julian 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
126 YAO JINTAO - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
127 WANG daniel - 7% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
128 GINSBERG Jordan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
129 LE Hayden - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
130 WONG James T. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
131 EICHHORN Lukas H. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
132 POPE Nico - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
133 LEE Noah - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
134 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - - 4% 20% 38% 31% 7%
135 LO Bradley 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
136 LUHAN Zachary 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
137 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
138 ZHANG Jeffrey - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
139 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
140 LOPEZ Lucas M. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
141 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
142 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
142 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
142 WANG Justin - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
145 PI Alexander - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
146 YOUNG Nash - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
146 LIM William J. - - 2% 12% 38% 37% 11%
148 GHAYALOD ansh - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
149 ROE Finnegan 1% 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
150 REYES Xavier M. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
150 ZHAO Lucas 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
150 PIWOWAR Alex - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
153 DOWNEY Baran - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
154 CHIN Matthew W. - 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2%
155 PATIL Aaryan A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
155 SAHAY Kenji - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11% 1%
157 MCCARTHY Devan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
158 EYBELMAN Ariel 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
159 CAISSE Simon B. - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
159 VO Minh Q. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
161 ANTHONY Devyn V. 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
162 HILL Quillan 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
163 BARRETO Elliott - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
164 MATTOO Surya 5% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
165 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
166 NOBLE Colin - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
167 KATZ Ryan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
168 POFF Kainoa 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
169 WU Richard 2% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
170 JOHNSON Langston C. - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
171 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
171 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 10%
173 GOLDIN Lucca 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
173 LI Yiwei - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
175 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
175 AVAKIAN Alec - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
175 POSY Daniel 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
178 HUANG Alex F. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
178 NOURELDIN Gabriel 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
180 LUO George F. - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
180 HUANG Connor 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
180 THORNHILL Kwasi 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
180 ZHANG Derek 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
184 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
184 ZHOU Miles 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% -
186 SIMMONS John M. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
186 VAROQUA Nalby 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
188 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
188 ZHANG Ethan W. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
188 ZHANG William 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
191 STURN Oliver - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
191 SAVOY Luca 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
193 KILGALLEN William - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
194 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
195 BRANDT Jaden 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
195 BARRIOS Diego 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
197 WOODWARD Connor - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
197 XU Andrew - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
197 KUMAR Sachit 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
200 GUAN Dennis 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
201 GILSHTEYN Jacob 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
202 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
203 ZHOU James Y. 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
204 WEBER Mattias A. 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
205 KANG Evan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
206 HU Christopher 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
207 DELARUE NELSON Y. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3%
208 DEPEW Spencer - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
209 GAO Albert - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
210 SHANKAR Karthik 22% 47% 25% 5% 1% - -
211 KROON Lucas 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
212 YAN William 4% 21% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
212 REN James - - 2% 12% 29% 38% 19%
214 MONTALVO ashur 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
215 REN Richard - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 7%
216 KANG evan R. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
217 ZHU Charlie 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
218 TIAGI George 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
219 DUDNICK Christian 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
220 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
220 CHEN Jonathan 5% 24% 40% 25% 5% - -
222 CHENG Hong 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
223 SO Preston 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
224 JOO Jeein - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
225 SHIPITSIN Alexander 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
226 BADUSHOV Anton 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
227 COLE Alexander - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
227 HWANG Jayden 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
227 SOWERS Samuel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
230 LIN Philip T. 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
231 AKS Ari 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
231 RAMTEKKAR Soham 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
233 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 3% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
234 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
235 RADJABLI Maximillian 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
235 ZHANG Yupeng 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
235 CHOKSI Vihaan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
238 BODKIN Jake M. 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
238 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
238 CRAIG Andrew 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
238 YAN Kevin 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
242 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
242 HOOLE Colson 4% 22% 39% 27% 6% 1% -
244 KIM Kendrick 10% 38% 41% 11% 1% - -
245 CHAN Aidan 4% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
245 LEE Andrew 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
247 WANG William 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
248 VAID Luke 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
249 KILARI Krish - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
250 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
250 ZHOU Grant 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
252 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
253 VAUGHN Jason 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
254 LO Andrew T. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
255 PERRON Robert 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
255 WALKE Devin 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
257 NIETO Titus P. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
258 HOTHA Nikhil 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
259 DEKA Tanush 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
260 CHAVES Matthew J. 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
261 RYABKOV Stanislav 9% 51% 32% 7% 1% -
262 MAY Griffin M. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
263 WANG Zhuoyi 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
264 HUNG Samuel 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
265 VELTZ Tyler J. 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
265 FARIDI Imran 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
267 FERGUSON Constantine 11% 49% 32% 8% 1% - -
268 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
268 KUSANAGI Soshi 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
270 FOX Gavin 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
271 FAYETTE Julien 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
271 GAY Jono 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
271 BRAKEY Ryan 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
274 PARK Caleb 21% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
275 CADAMBI Roshan - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
275 CHEN Samuel 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
277 MUNGOVAN Matthew 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
277 WILKINSON James 25% 48% 23% 4% - - -
277 KAPOOR Tanmay 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
277 DOLEV Ido 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
281 BONSELL Vance 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
281 LAU Justin Y. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
281 ZENG Vito 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
284 DECK Tyson 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
285 EDELMAN Seth A. 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
285 SEALE Cougar 39% 43% 16% 3% - - -
287 COOK Cole - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
287 ROBERTS Justin C. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
287 HERRERA aragon 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
290 TSAI Michael T. 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
290 TSAO Oliver 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
290 JOHNSON Kai 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
293 MONTALVO Emmeric 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
294 CHEEMA Hyder 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
294 ZEWDA Kebron 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
294 JENSBY Jason 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
297 LESUEUR Luke J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
297 PARRA Rodrigo 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
299 SMITH Vaughn 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
299 BOUKHTIN Maxim 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
301 MEYERSON Jacob 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% - -
301 HENDERSON Jack 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
301 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
304 BERA Enzo 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
305 ZHENG LEON 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
306 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
307 HUSTON Theodore 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
308 ZHOU Aeres Z. 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
309 PARCELL Colby 68% 28% 4% - - - -
310 ONG Chinli 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
311 HAMMERS Neel 69% 27% 4% - - - -
311 PATRICO Peter 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
313 KIM Theodore 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
314 GAUVEY Kieran 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
314 FREDRICK Jameer 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
316 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
316 GUREVICH Savely 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
318 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 77% 22% 1% - - -
319 VENU Ram 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
319 FANG Eason 18% 46% 30% 5% - - -
321 KO Zuriel 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
322 BOULAIS Andrew D. 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
322 LIN Steve 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
322 SUN Ziyao 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
322 REHM Liam 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
326 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
326 WEINSTEIN Nate 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
326 WAGNER Elijah 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
329 WAGNER Calvin 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
330 MARTIN William 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
330 KOTVALI Aneesh 69% 28% 3% - - - -
332 DIMATTEO Michael 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.