The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, July 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOKHANOV OLY Konstantin - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
2 MORRILL William - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
3 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
5 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
6 WANG Robert 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
7 ESCUETA Tony V. - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
8 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
9 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
10 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
11 KIM Shaun M. 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
12 LINSKY Matthew - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
13 YUN Jaesun - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
14 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
15 BAE Jason I. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
16 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
18 ANDREEV Ilia - - - 2% 21% 77%
19 ZU Kevin - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
20 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
21 LEE Justin 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 2%
22 EICHHORN Lukas H. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
23 JIANG Anthony - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 1%
24 CHAN Matthew - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 WITEK Bernard J. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
25 MORRILL Justin 1% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
27 SHOMAN Noah 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
28 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
29 XU William 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
30 PRIEST Leighton K. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
31 NOBLE Colin 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 WU Roger (Mengke) 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
33 SIMAK Joseph P. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
34 WOODWARD Connor 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
35 GEFELL Andrew P. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
36 LIANG Connor - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
37 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
38 RAI Avin - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
39 HOLZ William A. 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
40 SO Hananiah - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 3%
41 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
41 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
43 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 6%
44 LEE Aydan J. 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
45 FENG Leo 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
46 LUTHRA Arjun 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
47 BARNETT Adam 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
48 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
49 ZHANG Jeffrey 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
50 MICLAUS Justin 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
51 WILSON Jude - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
51 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
53 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
54 NOBLE Daniel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
55 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
56 LILOV Neil - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
56 TANN Justin 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
58 POPE Nico 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
59 REN James 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
60 CHTERENTAL Alex 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1%
61 LIM William J. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
62 DOLAN Charles R. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
63 ERMAKOV Lev - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
64 BERGER Oliver - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
65 VO Minh Q. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% < 1% -
66 DENNER Lysander H. 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
67 JOHNSON Langston C. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
68 HONG Steven 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
69 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
70 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
71 GUFFEY Christopher 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
72 HOLZ Daniel 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
73 CHON Taylor A. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
74 BERMAN Luca 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
75 SLASTIN Andrew 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
76 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
77 YANG Ziyi 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
77 LE Hayden 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
79 BULL Anderson 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
80 CHOI Silas 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
81 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
82 JI Cody Walter - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
83 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
84 GANTA Vijay 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
85 BROU Inkosi 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
86 KWALWASSER Eric 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
87 CHEONG Heonjae 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
88 SKINNER Graham B. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
89 CHEONG Heonjun 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
89 ROBERTS Sam - 4% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
91 ZUBATIY Samuel 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
92 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
93 BOSITA Carson 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
94 LI Minghan 3% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
95 KIM Alexander M. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
96 GLOZMAN Justin 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
97 PANDEY Neil 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
98 STONE Esmond A. 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
99 YUN Jake 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
100 WANG Eric Y. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
100 LIU Mingyang Ryan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
102 DENG Andrew 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
103 CORTEZ Christopher 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
104 WONG Ryan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
105 ZEWDA Kebron 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
106 WOOD Elden S. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
107 KUSHKOV Daniel 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
108 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
109 PRIMUS Nazir 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
110 PENG Bryan 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
111 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
112 YOUNG Nash 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
113 YAO JINTAO 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
114 GHAYALOD ansh 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
115 BARTOLO Domenic V. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
116 WANG Nicolas 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
117 TENG MATTHEW 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
118 GREENBAUM Ian L. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
119 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4%
120 KIM ELIJAH 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
121 HJERPE Wade H. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
122 SCHERER Max 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
123 HU Christopher 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
124 RAMANAN Jaisimh 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
125 DODRILL Grant 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
126 MARGULIES William 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
127 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
128 LO Konnor 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
129 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
129 ZENG Noah 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
131 PI Alexander 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
132 MICHELL Bailey 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
133 MCCARTHY Gabriel 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1%
134 RIGHTLER Samuel 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
135 PATIL Aaryan A. 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
136 OH Triton 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
137 KOGAN Benjamin - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
138 WESLER Logan A. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
138 SAHAY Kenji 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
140 AVAKIAN Alec 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
141 REN Richard 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
142 KIM Andrew H. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
143 CHIN Matthew W. 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
144 CHAVES Matthew J. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
145 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
146 KOTOV Leonid 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
147 MAKLIN Edward P. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
148 FALLICK Ozzie 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
149 LIN Daniel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
150 BONSELL Vance 36% 42% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.