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National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Saber

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 BURKE Nora S. - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
3 POSSICK Lola P. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
3 LU Vivian Y. - - 1% 5% 22% 45% 27%
5 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
6 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 23%
7 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
8 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
9 KIM Zoe - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
10 SHOMAN Jenna - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
11 ERIKSON Kira R. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
12 MILLER Sky - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
13 ANDRES Katherine A. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
14 PAUL Lila 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
15 OISHI Megumi - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
16 LIU Sophie - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
17 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
18 DRAGON Rainer 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
19 HILD Nisha - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 3%
20 LIN Audrey J. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
22 GOUHIN Chloe - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
23 LINDER Kara E. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
24 GHAYALOD reya - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
25 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
26 SHEALY Maggie - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
27 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
28 CHEN Ashley 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
28 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
30 WEI Vivian W. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
31 BOIS Adele - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
32 CHIN Sophia J. - 2% 11% 28% 37% 21% 2%
33 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
34 JOHNSON Lydia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
35 JUNG Irene 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
36 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
37 DUCKETT Madison - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
38 SADIK HANA 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
39 GEYER Carolina M. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
40 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
40 LU Elaine 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
42 YANG Angelina LeLe 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
43 BLUM Leah I. 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
44 HWANG Gabriela M. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
45 VESTEL Mira B. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
46 MIKA Veronica 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 1%
47 XIAO julie 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
48 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
49 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
50 KER Grace 4% 20% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
51 CHEN Xiaohan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
52 SHEARER Natalie E. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
53 LEE Sophia 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
53 SOURIMTO Valeria 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
55 SAYLES Nina R. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
56 HUANG MADELINE 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
57 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
58 YANG Ashley M. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
59 ANTHONY Alexia B. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
60 TZOU Alexandra - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
61 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
62 SATHYANATH Kailing 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
63 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
64 VADASZ Ibla P. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
65 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
66 D-SALLOWS Keira - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
67 SO Catelyn 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
68 ANDRES Charmaine G. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
69 LU Amy 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
70 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
71 KIM Marley I. 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
72 SHI Cathleen 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
72 CALLAHAN Chase J. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
75 MAKLIN Sofia 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
75 LIM Jaslene 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
77 LI Amanda C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
78 HONE Katarina G. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
79 ATTIA Jasmine 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
80 FESTA Carina 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
81 XIKES Katherine E. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
82 MULAGARI Sadhika 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
83 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 27%
84 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
84 MENDIOLA RITCHIE Ingrid 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
86 SINHA Anika 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
87 ALCEBAR Kayla 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 2% -
88 YAO Rainie 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
89 LEE Hannah 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
90 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
91 MCKEE Brynnley 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
92 LIGH Erenei J. 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
93 NATH Trisha 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
94 DHAR Aamina 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
95 CHIANG Emily 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
96 BALAKUMARAN Maya 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
97 LI Victoria J. 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
98 BILILIES Sophia 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
99 JEONG Katie 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
100 LIU Yifei 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
101 NI Sharon 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
102 WU Helen 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
103 WEI JoyAnn 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
104 ZOU Yelin 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
105 GRAFF Sophie 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
106 LIN Nicole 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
107 HUAI Delilah 14% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
108 ENDO Miyuki N. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
109 MUND Ruth 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
110 HE Charlotte 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
110 NGUYEN Siena 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
112 BROWN Emma 4% 19% 36% 31% 11% 1%
113 SCOTT Eve 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
113 MARYASH Samantha 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
115 MARTURANO Bridget H. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
116 YANG Lea 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
117 DAVIS Jayna M. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
118 LIAO Siwen 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.