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National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard - - - - 2% 19% 80%
2 YANG Luao - - - - 1% 15% 84%
3 GOOR Julian - - - - 2% 24% 74%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
5 CULLIVAN Justice - - - - 1% 16% 83%
6 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
7 MIALL Steven A. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
8 LO Conrad - - - - 1% 17% 81%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 1% 18% 81%
10 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
10 SIU Aiden - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
12 LYU Weiqiao Victor - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
12 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
14 QIAN Jason H. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
15 WOO Christian - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
16 TANG Owen S. - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
17 WYMAN Julian - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
18 WANG Mason - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
19 LEWIS Akhil - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
19 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 2% 21% 77%
19 LEE Jacob J - - - - 5% 30% 65%
22 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
23 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
23 GONG Benjamin - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
25 DAI Jonathan T. - - - - 6% 34% 60%
26 LING Eddie - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 3%
27 WONG Garrick G. - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
27 LEE Aidan - - - - 6% 32% 62%
29 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
30 KLOTZ Isaiah - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 1%
31 CANLAS Nathan - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
32 LORENZO Alejandro - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
33 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 19%
34 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
35 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
36 PO Oliver - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
36 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
38 LI Aaron - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
39 ROSE Ben - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
40 PONS Diego - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18% 1%
41 RASMUSSEN Sage - 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
42 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - 1% 9% 40% 49%
43 VALOUEV Aleksey - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
44 HAN Changhee - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
45 NGUYEN Martin - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
46 GUO Justin - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
47 PAN Henry - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21% 2%
48 MIN Eric - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
49 REICHEL Ezra 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
50 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
51 LEE Christopher T. - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
52 LI Eric - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
53 WU Trevor - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
54 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
55 LIN Michael - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
56 HOSKERI Anik S. - - 2% 15% 40% 37% 6%
57 PARK Rion 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
58 MILLER Jordan 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
59 TSAO Lukas - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 7%
60 SONG Noel - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
61 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
62 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
63 LIN James G. - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
64 LU Kevin 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
65 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 15% 39% 35% 8%
66 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 1% 13% 86%
67 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 1% 10% 36% 41% 12%
68 KIM Andrew J. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 19%
69 TIKHAEV Alexander - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
70 YI William - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
71 CO Dylan - - 1% 11% 36% 42% 10%
72 LI Matthew - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
73 MA Bryant 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
74 HUANG Eythan - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
75 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
76 TUAN Evan 6% 32% 40% 19% 3% -
77 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
78 STRINGER David 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
79 ZHEN Ethan - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
79 WANG Winston - 1% 7% 24% 40% 26% 2%
81 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 3% 13% 32% 35% 16% 1%
82 PARK Ryan 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
83 LIU Ethan - - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
84 MA Andrew - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
85 HUANG Jonathan - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
86 WANG Ethan - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
87 SHAGIDANYAN German - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
87 VANOYEN Dominick - 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
89 SHAPIRO Leon 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
90 TANG Albert - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 2%
91 LI Samuel 2% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
92 CHOI Ethan 1% 7% 29% 42% 19% 3%
93 WU Alexander - - - 2% 20% 79%
94 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 1% 7% 28% 38% 22% 4%
94 EDWARDS Maxon 1% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
96 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
97 SUAREZ Adrian - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8% 1%
98 LI Toby 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
99 AGUINAGA Pedro - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
100 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
101 AKYAMAC Bora - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 1%
102 LI Ayren 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 4% -
103 WONG Antonio - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
104 PARK Sky 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
105 WU Lucas - 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
106 KRYLTSOV Michael - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
107 DERRICK Blake - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
108 KONG Luculentus X. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
109 WU Alistair - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
110 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
111 TANG August L. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 3%
112 WECHSLER Jacob - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
113 WONG Jackson 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
114 LLIDO Soren - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
115 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 4% 22% 43% 26% 6% -
116 LIU William 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
117 SRINIVASAN Vedant 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
118 AGUINAGA Tomas 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
119 DINSAY Kristjan - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
120 JIANG Owen - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
121 KAPOOR Aayan 1% 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
122 WU Alber Y. - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
123 XU Ethan 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
124 LAM Nicolas 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
125 STEVENS Paul S. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
126 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
127 CHENG Ethan 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1%
128 LIU Michael H. - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
129 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 10% 29% 39% 19% 1%
130 LIPPMAN Sam - 1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
131 ZHAO Adam 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% -
132 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
133 TAN Aidan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
134 LIU Derek - - 2% 12% 37% 38% 11%
134 WANG Brian 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
134 SHANNON Jack 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
137 TONKOVICH Ryan 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3% -
138 YAO Bradley - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15% 1%
139 FUKUDA Diego - 5% 23% 42% 27% 3%
140 EDISON Ansel 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
141 MAO Lucas 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
142 LIU Jinning - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
143 CHO Xzander 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
144 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
145 CHEN Hanson 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
146 MARTIN Darius 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
147 LYNCH Owen C. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
147 PARRISH Evan 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
149 SONG Austin - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
150 FENG Michael 4% 23% 45% 23% 5% - -
151 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
152 ALLEN Henry G. 1% 7% 27% 40% 20% 4% -
152 KIM Aiden 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
152 HOWLAND Jonas 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
155 RUBIN Max 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
156 SENIC Lucas - - 3% 16% 40% 36% 5%
157 SAH Steven 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
157 ANDRIC Borna - 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
157 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 5% 24% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
160 ROZALSKI Eli 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
161 GOH Jonas - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
162 GREENEBAUM Oliver 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
163 ZENG Rick 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
164 XIE Buster 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
165 BAE Eugene 11% 40% 36% 12% 1% - -
166 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
167 LEE Brendan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
168 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
169 YANG Charles 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
170 BIELER Mason 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
171 BRAIZINHA Thomas 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
172 GAO Payton 24% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
173 PETERSON Matthew 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
174 GUTH Joseph 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
175 ZOU Yuming 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
176 WANG Brayden 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
177 LEVY Jacob - 6% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
178 ORNELAS Matteo 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
179 BLACK Zachary 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
180 BORG Matthew 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
180 CHUANG Oscar 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
182 LO Preston - 3% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
182 GERRISH William 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
182 KETTELLE John - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% -
185 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
185 CHENG Logan 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
187 SHAO Eric - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
188 YAP Nathan - 4% 20% 41% 28% 7% -
189 LI Matthew - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
190 OH Jaden - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% -
191 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
192 CHUN Dashel 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
193 LE Jacob H. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
194 RAJ Jay 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
194 LEE Charles T 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
196 PALMA Nathan Anthony 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
197 LU Nathan 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
198 LEE Ethan 25% 48% 23% 4% - - -
199 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
199 ZHANG Jacob 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
201 BLEIL Tyler 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
202 GORDON William L. 12% 44% 33% 9% 1% - -
203 KIM Brian 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
204 LEE Eugene 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
205 PARKER Isaiah 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
206 BAI Brian 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
207 FLYNT Hayden 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
208 TWEMLOW Sacha 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
209 NOFZIGER Bennett 6% 32% 42% 17% 2% - -
210 TALASILA Arush - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
211 KENNEDY christo 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
212 JIANG Bowang 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
213 AGRAWAL Niki 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
214 TAM Kyle 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
214 CHOI Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
216 ZHONG Maxwell 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
217 NICOLL William 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
218 IRWIN Peter 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
219 MCISAAC Finn - 2% 13% 38% 35% 11% 1%
220 MAVANI Krishna 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
221 CHEN Matthew 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
221 CLARK Benjamin 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
223 MORROW Brenden - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
224 CHOI Benjamin 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
224 YANG Dylan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
224 HE Kyle 4% 26% 43% 22% 4% - -
227 HARRA Alexander 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
228 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
229 WANG Rory 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
229 SHENG Dalton 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
231 MOREA Anderson 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
232 TANG Alexander L. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
233 GE Daniel 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
234 BARRETT Austin 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
234 ZHOU Ryan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
236 LEE Jayden J. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
236 TULYAG Azim 7% 29% 40% 19% 4% - -
236 WONG Yuheng Isaac 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
236 LEUNG Jin 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
240 WONG Evan 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
241 MODADUGU Aryan 46% 44% 10% 1% - - -
242 MEMMOTT Ben 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
243 MATTOS Luis Felipe 10% 39% 38% 12% 1% - -
244 KUO Jayden 68% 30% 3% - - - -
245 TSAY Jordan R. 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
245 ZAIDI Adil 48% 39% 12% 1% - -
247 LEE Jonah < 1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
247 GUEVARA Isaac 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% - -
249 HARROCH Faustin 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
250 WONG Jacob W. 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
251 CHENG Austyn 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
251 SURESH Rohan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
251 GOWDA Sumeru 63% 31% 6% - - - -
254 JURMAN Therin 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
254 JOHNSON Soren 18% 59% 20% 3% - - -
254 KIM Jonah 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
257 CHANG Nathan 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
257 FAN Yuchen 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
257 CHEN Leetyan 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
257 MORTON Joshua 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
261 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
261 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
263 HOLCOMB Alexander 64% 31% 5% - - - -
263 LOCKWOOD Jacob 28% 52% 17% 2% - - -
265 BHAN Amar 59% 35% 6% - - - -
265 GRIEB Oliver 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
267 RAJPAL Alastair 11% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.