National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
8 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
10 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
12 LYU Weiqiao Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
12 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
14 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
15 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
16 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
17 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
18 WANG Mason 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
19 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
19 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
19 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
22 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
23 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
23 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
25 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
26 LING Eddie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
27 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
27 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
29 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
30 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
31 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
32 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
33 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 19%
34 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
35 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
36 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
36 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
38 LI Aaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
39 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
40 PONS Diego 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
41 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 2%
42 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
43 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
44 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
45 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 2%
46 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
47 PAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
48 MIN Eric 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
49 REICHEL Ezra 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
50 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
51 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
52 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
53 WU Trevor 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
54 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
55 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
56 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 6%
57 PARK Rion 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
58 MILLER Jordan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
59 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
60 SONG Noel 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
61 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
62 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
63 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
64 LU Kevin 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
65 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
66 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
67 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
68 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
69 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
70 YI William 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
71 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 10%
72 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
73 MA Bryant 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
74 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
75 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
76 TUAN Evan 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
77 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
78 STRINGER David 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
79 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
79 WANG Winston 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 2%
81 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
82 PARK Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
83 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
84 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
85 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
86 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
87 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
87 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
89 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
90 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
91 LI Samuel 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
92 CHOI Ethan 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
93 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
94 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
94 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
96 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
97 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% 1%
98 LI Toby 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
99 AGUINAGA Pedro 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
100 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
101 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
102 LI Ayren 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
103 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
104 PARK Sky 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
105 WU Lucas 100% 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
106 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
107 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
108 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
109 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
110 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
111 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 3%
112 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
113 WONG Jackson 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
114 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
115 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
116 LIU William 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
117 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
118 AGUINAGA Tomas 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
119 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
120 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
121 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
122 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
123 XU Ethan 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
124 LAM Nicolas 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
125 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
126 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
127 CHENG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
128 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
129 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 1%
130 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
131 ZHAO Adam 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% -
132 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
133 TAN Aidan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
134 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
134 WANG Brian 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
134 SHANNON Jack 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
137 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
138 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
139 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 3%
140 EDISON Ansel 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
141 MAO Lucas 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
142 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
143 CHO Xzander 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
144 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
145 CHEN Hanson 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
146 MARTIN Darius 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
147 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
147 PARRISH Evan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
149 SONG Austin 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 16% 1%
150 FENG Michael 100% 96% 73% 28% 5% - -
151 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
152 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
152 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
152 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
155 RUBIN Max 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
156 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 5%
157 SAH Steven 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
157 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
157 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
160 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
161 GOH Jonas 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
162 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
163 ZENG Rick 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
164 XIE Buster 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
165 BAE Eugene 100% 89% 49% 13% 2% - -
166 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
167 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
168 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
169 YANG Charles 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
170 BIELER Mason 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
171 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
172 GAO Payton 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
173 PETERSON Matthew 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
174 GUTH Joseph 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% 1%
175 ZOU Yuming 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
176 WANG Brayden 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
177 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% -
178 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
179 BLACK Zachary 100% 93% 55% 17% 2% - -
180 BORG Matthew 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
180 CHUANG Oscar 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
182 LO Preston 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
182 GERRISH William 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
182 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% -
185 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
185 CHENG Logan 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
187 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 12% 1%
188 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 7% -
189 LI Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
190 OH Jaden 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
191 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
192 CHUN Dashel 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
193 LE Jacob H. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
194 RAJ Jay 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
194 LEE Charles T 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
196 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
197 LU Nathan 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
198 LEE Ethan 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
199 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
199 ZHANG Jacob 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
201 BLEIL Tyler 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
202 GORDON William L. 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
203 KIM Brian 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
204 LEE Eugene 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
205 PARKER Isaiah 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
206 BAI Brian 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
207 FLYNT Hayden 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
208 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
209 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 94% 61% 19% 2% - -
210 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% -
211 KENNEDY christo 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
212 JIANG Bowang 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
213 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
214 TAM Kyle 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
214 CHOI Ethan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
216 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
217 NICOLL William 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
218 IRWIN Peter 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
219 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 12% 1%
220 MAVANI Krishna 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
221 CHEN Matthew 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
221 CLARK Benjamin 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
223 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
224 CHOI Benjamin 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
224 YANG Dylan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
224 HE Kyle 100% 96% 70% 27% 5% - -
227 HARRA Alexander 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
228 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
229 WANG Rory 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
229 SHENG Dalton 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
231 MOREA Anderson 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
232 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
233 GE Daniel 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
234 BARRETT Austin 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
234 ZHOU Ryan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
236 LEE Jayden J. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
236 TULYAG Azim 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
236 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
236 LEUNG Jin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
240 WONG Evan 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
241 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
242 MEMMOTT Ben 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
243 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% - -
244 KUO Jayden 100% 32% 3% - - - -
245 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
245 ZAIDI Adil 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
247 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
247 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 90% 57% 18% 2% - -
249 HARROCH Faustin 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
250 WONG Jacob W. 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
251 CHENG Austyn 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
251 SURESH Rohan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
251 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 37% 6% - - - -
254 JURMAN Therin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
254 JOHNSON Soren 100% 82% 23% 3% - - -
254 KIM Jonah 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
257 CHANG Nathan 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
257 FAN Yuchen 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
257 CHEN Leetyan 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
257 MORTON Joshua 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
261 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
261 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
263 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 36% 5% - - - -
263 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 72% 20% 2% - - -
265 BHAN Amar 100% 41% 6% - - - -
265 GRIEB Oliver 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
267 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.