December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, December 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 BIDA Sergey - - - - - - - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
2 IMREK Samuel A. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 RAMIREZ Yeisser - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
3 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
6 YOO Justin - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
7 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 26% 13% 3%
8 KNYSH Oleg - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
9 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
10 LIVERANT Skyler J. 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
11 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
12 KANG Philip F. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
13 SHELANSKI Isaac - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 21% 9% 1%
14 SHAH S Ayush 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
15 HADDAD Justin R. - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
16 MARAKOV Allen B. - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 25% 13% 3% -
17 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
18 CANDELA Nicholas - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 28% 28% 15% 3%
19 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
20 RODNEY Adam R. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
21 EMARA Omar - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
22 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
23 MOORE Shomari A. - - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 3% -
24 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
25 STRAUSS Luke - 3% 11% 23% 27% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
26 CIPRIANI Andrea - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 26% 31% 20% 5%
27 WEISS Miles J. - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 29% 26% 13% 3%
28 NORTH Gary S. - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
29 MOSES Alexander - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
30 SANDERS Ian W. - - - - - 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 14% 4% 1%
31 IYOKI Kent - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
32 LIN Kyran - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
33 JIN Owen - 1% 7% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1% < 1% -
34 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
35 LARSEN Samuel F. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
36 LIU Alexander - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 9%
36 LEE Shwan - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
38 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
39 GIBSON Nowell L. - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
39 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 25% 13% 4% - -
41 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
42 SILVERS Noah E. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
43 LANGE Henry C. - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
44 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
45 KUMASHI Mihir R. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
46 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
46 SU Caleb - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - -
48 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
49 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 24% 14% 5% 1%
50 ISAAC Mena - - 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - -
51 WHITE Sean - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
52 KIM Sullivan - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% 1% - - -
53 FRAY Alexander - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
53 NORTH Alexander M. - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 4% 1% - - -
55 DUNCAN Corwin - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
56 KAULL James T. - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
57 LO Jake - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
58 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% -
59 LAWSON Henry A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
60 YOUNG Peyton E. - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% - -
61 ZHANG Joshua - - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% -
62 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
63 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
64 NOLLNER Dylan - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
65 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
66 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 1% 5% 13% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
67 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - - - - - 1% 5% 14% 26% 30% 19% 5%
68 SINGHA Orion 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
69 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 22% 9% 2%
69 FU Leon - 3% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 4% 1% < 1% - - -
71 IARIKOV Nicholas - 2% 8% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
72 IMREK Elijah S. - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% - - -
73 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - -
75 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
76 TRAGER Matthew G. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
77 LEE Samuel Y. 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
78 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - -
79 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 1% -
79 TREBON Hayden - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
81 MILLER Jeffrey E. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1%
82 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
83 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 2% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
84 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% -
85 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 26% 27% 17% 6% 1%
86 CLICK Aiden - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
87 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
88 KHANNA Nikhil - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
89 LI Jesse - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
90 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 1% 7% 20% 30% 25% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
90 MAO Benjamin - 2% 9% 20% 28% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
92 KIM Dylan J. - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
93 CHONG christopher 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
94 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 3% 11% 22% 28% 22% 10% 3% - - -
95 MA Victor 1% 5% 14% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - - -
96 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - - 3% 9% 18% 25% 24% 14% 6% 1% - -
97 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 2% 12% 25% 29% 20% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
98 GANA Jr Jorge M. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
99 DESTEFANO Julius - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
100 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
101 MURPHY Thomas P. 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
101 PARK Frederick 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
103 LONCAR Luka E. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
104 TIEN Jabin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
105 FULLER George K. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
106 WU Joseph - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
107 BEDOR William J. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
108 LEE Stewart S. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
109 GLENNON Sebastian J. 8% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
110 GAO Daniel - 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
111 YAO Geoffrey B. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
112 ZHANG ethan 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
113 KIM Byung - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
114 BOYCE Samuel H. - 1% 5% 18% 36% 31% 9%
115 BHATNAGAR Ayan 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
116 LAM Alan 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
117 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
117 KROPP Jack 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
119 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
120 TAMULONIS Fen C. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
121 WELDON Benjamin 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
123 NIKOLOV Peter 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2%
123 FISHMAN Rahm 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
125 BEZRODNOV Michael - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
126 MCDANIELS Jeremy 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
127 CAO Brad 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
128 WICAS Graham E. 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
129 KUMAR Anitya - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
130 WOLFE Alex - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
131 CAI Brian 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3% -
132 TOLKACHEV Igor - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
133 HEIM Bryce 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
134 GASPAROVICH IV George M. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
135 MUGA Aiden 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
136 TABLEMAN Doug S. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
137 WU Jonathan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
138 GATZA Logan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
139 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
140 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
141 HUTTO Joshua 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
142 HIGGINS Branford 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
143 JIANG ryan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
144 JIN Nicholas - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
144 CAO Albert 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
146 ZHENG Haoran 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
147 KIM Nathan 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
148 NGUYEN Tate - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
149 PRIHODKO Max 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
150 PAK Elliot 7% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
151 TOUSSAINT Semaj 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
152 MCCOWN Ronan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
153 LEE JoonWon 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
154 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
155 GAO Chaney C. 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
156 ZHAO Corey 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
157 BERNARD Jack B. 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
158 CHIEN Zachary M. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
158 CARPENTER Liam - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
160 TIKHONOV Iliya 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
161 MUNLIN Donovan - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
162 SINGH Ravin 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
163 LEE Noah 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
164 SHIV Rishi - 2% 11% 29% 35% 18% 3%
164 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
166 SHA Michael 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
167 SMOAK Omari Z. - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 26%
168 GUINAN Joseph - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
168 OSTIGUY Cameron 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
170 PARK Ian C. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
171 HE Zhiheng 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
172 CHRISTENSEN Parker 6% 36% 38% 17% 3% - -
173 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
174 SUVOROV Yuly 3% 22% 40% 28% 7%
175 KNOX James 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
176 ZHANG Caden 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
176 LIOU Solomon 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
178 HILBERT Gabriel E. 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
179 SHEN Max 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
180 KIM Sterling S. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
181 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
182 HEADRICK Lance 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
183 JOSEPH William - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
184 CHEN Wesley 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
184 KUMAR Aidan 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1%
186 SODERBERG Alex Z. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
187 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
188 SMITH Justin C. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
188 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
190 CARTER Austin L. 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% - -
191 NEAL John P. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
191 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
193 SPINA Joseph B. 6% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
194 ARAVIND Athreya 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
195 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
196 DORASZELSKI Mark 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
196 RICHARD Owen 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4% -
198 LUEDECKE Myles A. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
199 LAI Boden 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
200 JORDAN Anton 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
201 SHCHUR Landon 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
202 SNYDER IV William B. - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
203 KATS Dylan G. 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
204 DAVOODIAN Christopher 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
205 PARK Nicholas 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
206 PRIHODKO Andrew 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
207 YU Hunter 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
208 SO Lorenzo 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
209 HU Robert J. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
209 YANG Boyan 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
211 COHEN Jared E. 7% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
212 SINHA Zaan 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
213 CHOI San 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
214 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
215 SAKO Ayrton J. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
216 LEE DoWon 70% 27% 3% - - - -
217 LIM Timothy D. 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
218 FAN Beichen 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
219 ZHU Eric 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
219 WONG King-Yee 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
221 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
222 TIRRELL Justin J. 5% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
223 AMOLSCH Dylan 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
224 CHRISTY Peter C. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
225 DU SHUNYU K. 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
226 PAN Tristan 49% 39% 11% 1% -
227 HONDOR Robert D. < 1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
227 LAI Aedin 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
229 MING Nathan 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
230 MILLER Lance W. 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
230 PARCELEWICZ John M. 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
230 REPIC Oliver 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
233 STEPHENS Corbin 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
234 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
234 EMMERT JP 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
236 SCHARF Ryan 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
237 BUI James H. 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.