The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 26, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
2 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 SHEALY Maggie - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
3 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
5 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
6 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 18%
7 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
8 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - - - 5% 30% 65%
9 LEE Hannah - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
10 MIKA Veronica - 1% 6% 23% 42% 25% 3%
11 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
12 MCKEE Brynnley - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
13 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 7% 39% 53%
14 JUNG Irene - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
15 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
16 LU Vivian Y. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
17 BURKE Nora S. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
18 KOVACS Sophia - - - 3% 18% 48% 31%
19 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 3% 18% 47% 33%
20 MILLER Sky - - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
21 NATH Trisha - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
22 LIM Jaslene 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
23 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
24 OISHI Megumi - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
25 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 HILD Nisha - 1% 10% 34% 42% 12%
27 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
28 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 2% 14% 42% 37% 5%
29 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
30 LIN Audrey J. - - 3% 17% 45% 31% 3%
31 JOHNSON Dagny L. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
32 KIM Marley I. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
33 DRAGON Rainer - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
34 CHIANG Melissa 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - < 1%
35 LU Elaine - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
36 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
37 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
38 HUAI Delilah 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
39 LAURI Keira 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
40 LIU Sophie - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
41 SAYLES Nina R. - - 3% 18% 41% 33% 4%
42 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
43 LIU Sydney 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
44 JEONG Katie 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
45 TABANGAY Heartlyn 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
46 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
47 LIU Yifei 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% -
48 SO Catelyn 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6% -
49 PAUL Lila - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
50 VADASZ Ibla P. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
50 TSUI Natalie 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
52 KER Grace - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
53 FEARNS Zara A. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
54 JOHNSON Lydia 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 KRASTEV Minna - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15% 2%
56 SPEARS Mya B 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
56 GUGALA Hanna 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
58 LIN Nicole 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
59 YANG Angelina LeLe 1% 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
60 VESTEL Mira B. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
61 BOIS Adele - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
62 MARTURANO Bridget H. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
63 CHIARELLI Valentina 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
64 MARYASH Samantha 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
65 NGUYEN Siena 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
66 ZOLLER Noelle 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
67 BARNOVITZ Maya 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
68 GOMERMAN Sophia 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
69 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 8%
70 ZHANG XUANYI 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
71 SHI Cathleen - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
72 YANG Lea 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
73 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% - -
74 FEIG Sela 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
75 LI Amanda C. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11% 1%
76 XIONG Haojiao 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
77 BOYNTON Ainsley 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% - -
78 PABIAN Emilia 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
79 ZENG Sarah 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
80 HAMMERSTROM Aria 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
81 TSE Angelina 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
82 ATTIA Jasmine 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
83 CHAVAN Arya 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
84 YOUNG Charlotte G. 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
85 FAVO Isabella 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
86 LU Amy - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
87 SCOTT Eve 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
88 YAO Rainie 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
89 LEE Sophia 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
90 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
91 ARNOLD Hali 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
91 FESTA Carina 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
93 MUND Ruth 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
94 XU Emily T. 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
95 ZHENG Valentina 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
96 WEI JoyAnn 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
97 DAI Olivia 12% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
98 MANN Sophia J. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
99 KHAN Alissa 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
99 GAUTAM Sahana 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
101 MAKLIN Sofia 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
102 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
103 WANG yining 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
104 ERIKSON Kira R. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
105 TONG Jessie 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
106 GRULICH Rayaana 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
107 DHAR Layla 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
108 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
109 HU Anna 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
110 HU Michelle 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
111 WANG Alice 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
112 MERCHANT Aishwarya 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
112 BERMAN greta 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
114 DANTULURI Shalini 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
115 GRAJALES Hannah E. 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
116 BUHAY Kirsten M. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
116 LEOU Korina 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
118 YAM Danika 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.