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UGA Open 2020

Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 1:00 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	MENKE Kavya I.	-	-	6%	31%	48%	14%
2	EICHHORN Lukas H.	-	2%	14%	40%	38%	6%
3	DU Gavin J.	-	1%	7%	27%	44%	20%
3	FONZO Ian	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
5	LISSO Ria A.	-	-	5%	24%	45%	24%
6	RICH Jack	-	2%	12%	30%	38%	18%
7	WALLACE Cade	-	-	4%	21%	44%	30%
8	RAULS Jackson V.	-	4%	22%	43%	26%	4%
9	EDWARDS Darby	-	-	1%	8%	33%	46%	12%
10	DICKINSON Leonard H.	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
11	KELLNER Taylor T.	1%	9%	28%	37%	22%	4%
12	LU Caleb Q.	-	-	4%	22%	40%	27%	6%
13	LINDHOLM Oliver S.	-	2%	15%	39%	35%	9%
14	RICHERSON James	-	5%	25%	43%	24%	4%
15	LOGGINS Austin J.	-	-	3%	18%	42%	36%
16	DAWSON Todd	-	3%	38%	42%	15%	2%
17	CROWLEY James	-	-	3%	16%	39%	35%	7%
18	PATEL Jeet	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	6%
19	GRAHAM Ian	1%	8%	27%	39%	23%	3%
20	HAMILL Daniel	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	4%
21	SANDERS Brittany	28%	43%	23%	6%	1%	-
22	HE Nikaia	4%	22%	36%	26%	10%	2%	-
23	BOONE Jason	-	6%	31%	46%	15%	1%
24	ROBINSON Wesley	4%	21%	37%	28%	10%	1%
25	JAYASANKAR Hari	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
26	HOLDER Thomas	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	1%
27	KIEU Jimmy	5%	31%	41%	20%	4%	-
28	GIRARD Parker	21%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-
29	VIDRINE Odile	12%	36%	35%	15%	3%	-
30	WANG Andy	1%	11%	31%	35%	18%	3%
31	DESHETLER Scott	5%	24%	37%	26%	8%	1%
32	HOLEVINSKI Anthony	23%	47%	25%	5%	-	-
33	CHEN Ethan	3%	19%	40%	31%	7%	1%	-
34	LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU Alexandra	2%	17%	37%	31%	11%	1%
35	ORLOFSKY Sydney	12%	35%	36%	14%	2%	-
36	LIU Iris	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-
37	ADIBZADEH Mehrdad	8%	32%	40%	18%	2%	-
38	TAYLOR Kathleen	36%	45%	16%	2%	-	-
39	OZMER Joseph	10%	33%	38%	17%	2%	-	-
40	SCHIPPER Bonnie	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%	1%
41	CONREY Chris	41%	48%	11%	1%	-	-
42	CREVELING Kathryn	12%	62%	23%	3%	-	-
43	CHO Kyung Jin	4%	28%	43%	22%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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