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National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, July 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - - 7% 93%
2 YANG Luao - - - - - 9% 90%
3 LI Matthew - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 LIN Michael - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
5 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 1% 12% 88%
6 CANLAS Nathan - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
7 LIN James G. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
8 KANG Anthony - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
9 WONG Garrick G. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
9 MARX Jackson L. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
9 SIU Aiden - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
12 YAO Bradley - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
13 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
14 LIU Derek - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25% 1%
15 WONG Jackson 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
16 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
17 ZHEN Ethan - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
18 TANG Albert 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% < 1%
19 TANG Owen S. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
20 LEE Jonah - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
21 CO Dylan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% -
22 MORROW Brenden 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3% -
23 MATSAKH Philip - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
24 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
25 LEE Brendan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
26 DINSAY Kristjan - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 3%
27 GUO Justin 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
28 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 3% 21% 44% 30% 2%
29 CHEN Kyle P. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
30 CHOI Ethan - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
31 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
32 NICOLETTI Luca 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
33 QIAN Jason H. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
34 LIU Ethan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
35 XU Andy P. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 12%
36 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
37 LI Aaron 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
38 MIN Eric - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 33%
39 ARIZA Abraham J. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
40 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 5%
41 SIMONOV Timofey 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
42 LI Allen 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
43 LING Eddie - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
44 HAN Derek - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
45 LO Preston 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
46 ZHANG Jiening G. - - 3% 14% 32% 37% 14%
47 SENIC Lucas - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
48 WU Alber Y. - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
49 TANG August L. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
50 HUANG Eythan 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
51 SUAREZ Adrian - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
52 ALLEN Henry G. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
53 TANG Alexander L. 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
54 LORENZO Alejandro 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
55 XU Ethan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
56 TAN Aidan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
57 RASMUSSEN Sage - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
58 WU Lucas 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
59 TANG Terry 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
60 DERRICK Blake - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
61 KIM Aiden 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
62 UHLIG Cole 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
63 KIAYIAS Aris 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
64 FEDELI Francesco 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
65 CHENG Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
66 ZENG Rick 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
67 MANIKTALA Suvir 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
68 MAO Lucas - 8% 31% 42% 18% 1%
69 SHENG Dalton 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
70 BOBROW Silas 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
71 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
72 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
73 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
74 LI Samuel 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
75 NGUYEN martin 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
76 CHOI Benjamin 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
77 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
78 TALASILA Arush 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% -
79 SONG Noel 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
80 SHAO Eric 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
81 LEE Christopher T. - - 3% 15% 39% 41% 2%
82 FANG Jaden 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
83 TWEMLOW Sacha 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
84 TSAY Jordan R. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
85 GUTH Joseph 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
86 SZIRAKI Jordan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
87 RUSSELL Paul - 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
88 BLACK Zachary 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
88 AGRAWAL Niki 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
88 GERRISH William 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
91 CHEN Ethan 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
92 NOFZIGER Bennett 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
93 CHUANG Oscar 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
94 BELOKON Sammy 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
95 EDWARDS Maxon 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
96 CHENG Jonathan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
97 YUE Jackson 5% 35% 41% 16% 2% -
98 CHEN Junxuan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
98 PARK Ryan 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
100 GULCHIN Mark 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
101 LI Lianhan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
102 KETTELLE John 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
103 ZHAO Adam 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
104 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
105 AKYAMAC Bora 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
106 KIM Harrison 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
107 DHOKTE Neev 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
108 MARISI Gabriel 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
109 LIU William 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
110 CHEN Kelton 17% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
111 MO Ethan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
112 CHEW Aaron 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
113 ZHENG Marcus 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
114 WONG Jacob W. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
115 CHO Xzander 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
116 JURMAN Therin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
117 PAULUS Gregory 67% 29% 4% - - -
118 CHEN David 77% 20% 2% - - - -
119 JOBE Connor M. 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
119 FINDLAY Zachary 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
121 DOELL Ethan 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
121 HE Bourne 45% 42% 11% 1% - - -
123 KOE Beckett 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
124 SHANNON Jack 72% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.