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National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRANT Lachlan K. - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
2 OURSLER Jack - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
3 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
3 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
5 LI Richard - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
6 LOCKWOOD Owen - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
7 RUSADZE Nickolas 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
8 ZHENG Alan H. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
9 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
10 KO Brian J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
11 GEE Brandon - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
12 SONG Leonardo T. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
13 KWON Ethan - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
14 BOBROW Logan 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
15 WU Alexander - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 HERGERT Benito 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
18 DESANDO Michael R. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
19 DIVITO Dylan - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
20 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
21 OTAKE Jared K. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
22 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
23 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
24 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
24 WANG Gerald Y. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
26 RITCHIE Luke W. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
27 YI Stephen K. - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
28 FU Samuel Y. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
29 DOBBINS Evan W. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
29 SHA Yi Peng 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
31 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
32 PETERS Nathan M. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
33 YANG Adam - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
34 DIERKS Kian 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
34 CHIN Julian S. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 7% 1%
36 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
37 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
38 DANKAR Neel 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
39 PYO Michael M. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
41 CHIN Jason Y. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
42 LIAO Alex J. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
43 ZHAO Jason L. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
44 BELLUOMO David C. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
45 BRUK Peter J. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
46 LI Simon A. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
47 LEWIS Paul D. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
48 NEWELL Ian A. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
49 OH Samuel H. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
50 GRISWOLD Abel B. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
51 LIU Eric Y. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
52 DIVENTI Paul W. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
53 SHIN Joshua J. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
54 LIN Richard W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
55 LI Owen - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
56 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
57 ANDERSON Colton J. - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
58 SIEGEL Elliot 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
59 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
60 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
61 DESHMUKH Ayush 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
62 KIM Ryan Y. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
63 LI Eric 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
64 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
65 BLUTT Emerson B. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
66 KIM Isaiah G. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
67 GOOR Julian - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
68 SHAFAIE Ali - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
69 ZENG Lucas H. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
70 HODESS Ethan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
71 ZHANG Luke T. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
72 KIM Aaron J. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
73 GARLINGTON David - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
74 LUH Ethan K. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
75 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
76 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
77 PATINO Yahir 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
78 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
78 TIAN Aaron C. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
80 STRAYER Andrew 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
81 JOSEPH Willem 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
82 BARTEL Jacob L. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
83 TSAY Jeremy M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
84 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
85 WESTPHAL David R. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
86 XIAO Anthony 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
87 SICHITIU Alexander 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
88 XIAO EDWARD 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
89 MOORE Jeremy S. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
90 GATZA Logan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
91 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
92 LEE Chris - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
93 HAN Andersen Y. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
94 YU Jonathan J. 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
95 WU Conrad J. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
96 BERK Theodore 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
97 SHAJI Karthik 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
97 CHENG Jonathan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
99 JEFFERY Jakob 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
100 WILLIAMS Connor J. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
101 CHAN Tyler 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
102 DAVIS Christopher M. 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
103 BAE Kevin 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
104 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
105 ACHILOV Sayid 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
106 ZHENG zhe 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
107 EUSCHER Alex M. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
108 CAI Jason Zhicheng 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
108 HSIUNG Richie 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
110 LE Vyn A. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
111 DAUM Charlie 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
112 DAVIDSON Elliot 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
113 MILLER Trent D. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
114 PRASANNA Advaith 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
115 RINEHART Conner M. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
116 JAUME Andrei 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
117 HOBSON Aaron K. 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.