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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

May NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADZIC Alen - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 RODNEY Adam R. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 SZAPARY Tristan B. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 18%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
6 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
7 NOLLNER Dylan - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
8 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
9 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 6% 33% 60%
10 YOO Justin H. - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 NORTH Gary S. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
12 KUMAR Anitya 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
13 KRAVIT Connor B. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
14 THOMPSON Soren - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
15 JONES Simon A. - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
16 POPOVICI Michael A. 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
17 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
18 LAWSON Nicholas W. - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
19 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
20 HADDAD Justin R. - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
21 SANDERS Ian W. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
22 LIU Alexander - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
23 GUINAN Joseph 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
24 SPITERI Gareth J. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
25 MA Ark - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
26 LAWSON Henry A. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 12%
27 KRAFT Dennis A. - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
28 SILVERS Noah E. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
29 SMITH Dwight - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
30 SHARMA Sanil 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
31 FRAY Alexander 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
32 ZHANG Joshua - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 2%
33 KIM Juni C. - - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
34 KAULL James T. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
35 WEISS Lewis E. - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
36 LEE Ryan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
37 IVE Isaac L. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
38 KIM William M. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
39 FISHLER Clifford 3% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
40 DOLGONOS Mark - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
41 GRABER Andrew J. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
42 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
43 WHITE Sean - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
44 CHONG christopher 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
45 MACZIK Adam W. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
46 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - - 6% 32% 61%
47 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
48 TAFOYA Devin D. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
49 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
49 GATZA Logan 10% 33% 38% 16% 3% -
51 CARPENTER Liam - 5% 23% 42% 26% 4%
52 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
53 ZAFFT Maximo S. 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
54 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
55 ROBINSON Riley 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
56 KOKENGE Clark 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
57 MARAKOV Allen B. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
58 SMITH Justin C. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
59 STUSNICK Hunter 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
60 JIN Owen 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
61 HILBERT Xavier - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
62 GLAZ Nicholas S. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
63 GANA Jr Jorge M. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
64 KIM Tei D. 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
65 SHELANSKI Isaac 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
66 WIMMER Chandler M. 1% 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% -
67 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
68 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
69 CLICK Aiden 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
70 WEISS Miles J. - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9%
71 MOSES Alexander 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
72 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
73 LIANG Aaron 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
74 IYOKI Kent - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
75 CHO Tyler H. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
76 BUYANOV Nikita V. 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
77 SAITOC Tudor - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
78 RUSSANOV Dennis 5% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
79 VAYSBERG Nathan - 3% 18% 41% 33% 6%
80 VERMEULE Spencer - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
81 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
82 SHIV Rishi 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
83 MORSE Tyler 28% 45% 21% 4% - -
84 JEONG Connor - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
85 MUN Michael K. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
86 GRAY Sterling B. - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
86 LIN Ryan 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
88 JEON Alexander E. 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
89 PARK Prestan S. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
90 PARK Ian C. 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
91 GOHEL Dayus T. 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
92 ZHU Max 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
93 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
94 MOORE Shomari A. - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
95 LEE Shwan 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
96 PARK Jong-Eun 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
97 WICKBOLDT Eric 65% 30% 5% - - -
98 GIBSON Nowell L. 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% -
98 LI Brian X 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
100 KANG Philip F. 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
101 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
102 YAO Shun 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
102 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
104 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
105 CHIEN Zachary M. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
106 KIM Sterling S. 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
107 GARRETT Samuel 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
108 GOLDFINE Ian J. 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
109 BOYCE Samuel H. 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
110 FELDMAN Jaemin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
111 CHAWLA Armaan 13% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
112 ADLER Ethan M. 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
113 DIXON Samuel 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
114 PAHLAVI Kamran 67% 28% 5% - - - -
115 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 52% 36% 10% 1% - -
116 CRANE Matthew T. 51% 38% 9% 1% - -
117 LAI Coby 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
118 WOZNIAK Sebastian 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.