The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 12:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
2 KWON Ethan - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 KAO Castor T. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 LI Richard - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
5 SCHENCK Koen M. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
6 SHA Yi Peng - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
7 BAE Kevin - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
8 LE Vyn A. 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
9 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
10 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
11 LEE Jacob J - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
12 DAI Jonathan T. - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
13 BRUK Peter J. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
14 BING Charles - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
15 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 3% 14% 35% 35% 12%
16 LAURICELLA Douglas - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
17 KIM Yonjae - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
18 BAS Liam - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
19 JIANG Owen 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
20 LI Eric - - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5%
21 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 1% 9% 35% 43% 12%
22 FU Samuel Y. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
23 GU Andrew 1% 8% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
24 GONG Benjamin - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
25 SHIN Joshua J. - 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
26 AHN Jun - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
27 SONG Bryan 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
28 CHAN Tyler - - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
29 BELLUOMO David C. - 2% 15% 44% 33% 6%
30 TSAI Max W. 3% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
31 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
32 GUERRERO Isaac C. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
33 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
34 SIMA Congyu Josh 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
35 KLEIN Sebastian W. 2% 19% 48% 26% 5% -
36 DEGREMONT Henri S. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
37 TORRES Treston 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
38 VALENTON Timothy 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
39 PO Oliver 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
40 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 15% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
41 DAVIDSON Elliot 2% 27% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
42 TALLARICO Matthew 10% 37% 40% 11% 1% - -
43 MILLER Aidan A. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
44 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
45 WU Michael 29% 46% 22% 3% - - -
46 YOON DYLAN 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
47 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 27% 50% 20% 3% - -
48 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
49 MENG Zhaoyi - 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
50 LIN James G. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
51 ALIMI Yacine A. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
52 TRAUGOT Owen G. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
53 ZHEN Ethan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
54 RNO Kyler 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
55 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 30% 43% 21% 4% - -
56 MILLER Jordan 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
57 GARDOS Noah 64% 31% 5% - - - -
58 POPE Alexander 45% 45% 10% 1% - -
59 SHIKHMANQ Lennon 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
60 REZA Farazi 23% 47% 26% 4% - - -
61 WERTZ Erik 81% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.