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USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NICOLETTI Luca - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
2 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 LIU Derek - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
3 LI Aaron - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
5 KIAYIAS Aris - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
6 FUKUDA Diego - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
7 MORROW Brenden - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
8 LEE Brendan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
9 XU Andy P. - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
10 QIAN Jason H. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
11 MAO Lucas - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22%
11 LI Bradley - - - 3% 18% 48% 31%
11 CHOI Ethan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
14 YI William - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
15 LO Preston - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 34%
16 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
17 TANG Terry - - - 3% 22% 52% 22%
18 WONG Jackson - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
19 ZHANG Aaron - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
20 PARK Rion 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
21 WU Alber Y. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
22 DERRICK Blake - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
23 YAO Bradley - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
24 LIU Ethan - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
25 LING Eddie - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
25 GUTH Joseph - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
27 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
28 PARRISH Evan - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
29 TAN Aidan - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
30 CHENG Logan - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
31 NGAI Julian - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
32 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
33 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
34 FEDELI Francesco - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
35 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - - 3% 18% 48% 31%
36 NGUYEN Martin - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
37 LI Allen - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
38 CHEN Kyle P. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
39 ZHAO Nathan - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
40 ALLEN Henry G. - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
41 YANG Charles - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
42 LEE Christopher T. - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
43 SENIC Lucas - 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
44 CHENG Ethan - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
45 SHENG Dalton - 3% 16% 36% 35% 11%
46 GHEDINI Luca - - 5% 29% 47% 18%
47 RAJ Jay - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
48 ZHAO Adam - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
49 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
50 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
50 DESERANNO Leander - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
52 MASSIMINO Andrew - 2% 14% 36% 35% 11% 1%
53 CHOI Benjamin - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
54 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
55 ZHANG Graham 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
56 LU Nathan 3% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
57 HOU Gaven - - 5% 20% 41% 29% 5%
58 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
59 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
59 BIELER Mason 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
61 VADEN Oliver - 2% 17% 45% 31% 6%
62 ROZALSKI Eli 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
63 LIU ERIC 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
64 CHUN Dashel 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
65 LEE Charles T 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
66 PARK David 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
67 TSAY Jordan R. - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
67 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
69 WONG Jacob W. - 2% 11% 33% 40% 13% 1%
69 SHAW eric 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
71 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
72 CHO Xzander - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
73 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 3% 22% 41% 26% 6% 1%
74 TULYAG Azim - 3% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
75 LE Jacob H. - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13% 1%
76 KAWADA Sebastien 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
77 CHUANG Oscar 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
78 PAN Edwin 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
79 CHANG Jeremy 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
80 CHANG Jonathan 3% 20% 40% 30% 7% 1%
81 DANIEL Nikith 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
82 LU Kevin - 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
83 SUAREZ Adrian - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
84 GERRISH William - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
85 KIM Daniel Y. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
86 XIE Jicheng - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5% -
87 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
87 ZHOU Ryan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
89 DOELL Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
89 WONG Evan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
91 UHLIG Cole 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
91 LI Richard 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
91 LING Carson Jr 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
94 ZHANG Jacob 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
95 DHOKTE Neev 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
96 FUKUDA Brando 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
97 WANG Ancen 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
98 DENG David 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
99 CHEN Ethan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
100 WU Thomas 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
101 ZENG Rick - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
102 SHEN Oliver 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
103 MO Ethan 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
103 CHEN Hanson 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
105 CHEN Matthew 12% 41% 37% 9% 1% -
106 XU Nathan 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
107 TOOMRE Kai - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
108 PARK William 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
109 DULAI Angad 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
110 WINGLER Cole 5% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
111 YU William 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
112 PETROV Mikhail 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
113 GORDON William L. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
114 ZHANG Lucas 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
115 JOHNSON Soren 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
116 HOWLAND Jonas 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
117 KOE Beckett 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
118 HUANG Jinyao 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
119 HE Ian 18% 51% 26% 5% - - -
120 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
121 WANDJI Noah 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
122 JIN Andy 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
123 ONG Nicholas 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
124 ALKADI Zain 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
125 SUAREZ David 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
126 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
127 LAO Kevin 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
128 LEE Jayden 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
129 KIM Seoheul 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
130 UPENDER West 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
131 YU ShiLin (Harry) 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
132 CHEN David 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
133 HE Bourne 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
134 SUNDSTROM Wren 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
135 HOM Logan 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
136 QIAN Zekai 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
137 ZHONG Maxwell 44% 42% 13% 1% - - -
138 NI Kevin 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
139 WANG Rory 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
139 MARTIRE Luca 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
141 BLACK Henry 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
141 PLUMMER Waylon 7% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
143 LU Alex - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
144 TANG Royce 1% 12% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
144 SHANNON Jack 8% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
144 WENGER Liam 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1% -
147 LIU Robert 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
147 DONOHUE Taylor - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
149 ZHAO Ryan 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
149 MCCONKEY Tristan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
151 POPOKH Luca 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
152 ZHOU Alex 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
153 SICAT Justin 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
153 KOE Declan 10% 38% 38% 12% 1% - -
153 WANG rainier 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
156 KUE Temujin 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
157 LIANG Ethan 61% 33% 6% - - - -
158 TACK Everett 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
159 HICKEY Connor 5% 24% 38% 25% 6% - -
160 CHAN Joseph 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
161 RUSSELL Paul < 1% 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
162 KIM Gene 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
163 YAN Rian 11% 40% 39% 9% 1% -
164 HUA Aaron 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
165 WEI JR Shan 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
165 SUN Neo 55% 38% 7% - - - -
167 CHEW Brandon 3% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
168 O'LEARY Colin 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
168 MCMILLIAN Harrison < 1% 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
168 YU ShiYu (Henry) 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
171 ZHANG Hanson 40% 42% 16% 2% - -
172 YUE Jackson 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
172 GOGOI Kavi 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
174 BANUELOS Dario 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
175 SHAW Spencer 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.