2022 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 5, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
2 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
3 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
5 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 3%
6 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
7 SHAO Eric 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
8 LI Ayren 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
9 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
10 WANG Mason 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 11%
11 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
12 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
13 LI Arvin 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
14 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
15 WU Michael 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
16 BOOTHMAN Colby 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
17 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
18 TSAI Max W. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
19 ZHEN Ethan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
19 POPESCU Tudor 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
21 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
23 BORGAL Cameron 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1%
24 WANG Qiqi 100% 42% 9% 1% - -
25 CHUA Kirby 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% 1%
26 LIGH Thomas 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
27 BROGAN Kevin 100% 39% 6% - - -
28 LIGH Jack 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
29 XU Ethan 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1%
30 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 62% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.