Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, February 18, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 LAI Adam J. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
3 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
3 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
5 YUN Jaesun - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
6 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
7 KIM Shaun M. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
8 HOLZ William A. 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
9 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
10 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
12 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
13 CHAN Matthew - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
14 BUCHMANN Finn D. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
15 LO Joshua H. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
16 KOTOV Leonid - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
17 TRAVERS Samir T. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
18 ZUBATIY Samuel 6% 25% 39% 26% 6%
19 WU Mengke - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
20 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
21 DENNER Lysander H. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
22 ERMAKOV Lev - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
22 JIANG Anthony - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
24 JI Cody Walter - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
25 LINSKY Matthew - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
26 CHON Taylor A. - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
27 MAKLIN Edward P. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
28 SIMAK Joseph P. - 2% 15% 38% 36% 8%
29 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
30 WIND Nicky E. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
31 NIL Michael Y. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
32 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
33 JOHNSON Langston C. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
34 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
35 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
36 BERRIO Carter E. - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
37 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
38 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
39 LIN John A. - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14%
40 HJERPE Wade H. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
40 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 14%
42 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
43 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
44 SOHN Kevin J. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
45 NOBLE Daniel - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
46 HUANG Tom 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
47 MORRILL William - 5% 23% 42% 29%
48 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - - 3% 15% 43% 39%
48 BERMAN Luca - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
50 WANG Eric Y. - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
51 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
52 TONG ZACHARY - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
53 MORRILL Justin - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
54 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
55 MOON Sean H. - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
56 LIANG Connor - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
57 HUSSAIN Faaris - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
58 XUE ALEXANDER - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
59 FENG Leo - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
59 CORTEZ Christopher 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
61 BULL Anderson - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
61 OH Triton 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
63 HAN Daniel Y. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
64 TANN Justin - < 1% 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
65 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
66 SO Hananiah - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
67 LEE Justin - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
68 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 20%
69 WILSON Jude - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
69 ROBERTS Sam - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
71 KOGAN Benjamin - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
72 PANDEY Neil 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
73 CHANG Colin S. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
74 SWORDS Evan F. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
75 XU William - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
76 JEAN Noe T. - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
77 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
78 ZHU Charlie 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
79 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
80 KIM Matthew 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
81 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
82 GHAYALOD ansh - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
83 GHENEA George Philipe 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
84 BAE Jason I. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
85 MORREALE John - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
86 DU Gavin J. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
87 GANTA Vijay - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
88 SHOMAN Noah - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
89 MARGULIES William 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
91 YANG Dylan 1% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
92 ZHENG Edward L. 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
93 CADAMBI Roshan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
94 SHOMAN Zachary - 5% 22% 42% 26% 4%
95 YANG Ziyi - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
96 CAISSE Simon B. 5% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
97 HOUTZ Jackson 12% 34% 36% 16% 2%
98 GOLD Jackson 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
99 PAN Alex 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
100 NG Jeremiah 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
101 ZHOU Aeres Z. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
101 HOLZ Daniel - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
103 CHEN Evan P. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
104 WANG Robert 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
105 LIU Mingyang Ryan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
106 XU Luke 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
107 CHIN Matthew W. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
108 ZHOU Justin - 1% 9% 31% 43% 17%
108 BRISTOL Brijen 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
110 GOLDMAN Noah R. 2% 26% 42% 24% 5% -
111 XU Andrew 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
112 DOLAN Charles R. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
113 OVERDECK Andrew 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
114 LUTHRA Arjun - 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
115 STONE Esmond A. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
116 REYES Xavier M. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
117 DENG Andrew - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
118 HUROWITZ Max 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
119 POPE Nico - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
120 HONG Steven 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
121 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
122 WEBER Mattias A. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
122 WONG James T. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
124 MORALES Jonathan 3% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
125 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
126 BRAR Sanjeet 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
127 BARBER William S. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
128 LO Alexander 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
129 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
130 DENNER Maximilian P. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
131 JINICH Ilan R. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
132 ZHOU Miles 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
133 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
134 COVINGTON Max G. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
135 BOSITA Carson 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
136 HAO Anwen 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
137 FLOT Tai A. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
138 SCHERER Max 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
139 GAFFNEY John M. 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
140 LU Caleb Q. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
141 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
142 KAYDALIN Artyom - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
143 LIN Daniel - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
144 QIU Nathan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
145 WONG Ryan 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
146 BAUER Hank E. 1% 12% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
147 LO Konnor 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
148 RABINKOV Anthony - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10% 1%
149 CHTERENTAL Alex 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
150 WANG Nicolas 2% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
151 ZHANG Ethan W. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
152 SANDERS Samuel B. 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
153 KASPER Aaron - 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
154 KIBBAR Tomer L. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
155 BOLTON Braydon A. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
156 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
157 AVAKIAN Alec 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
158 LIM William J. 1% 20% 42% 29% 7% 1%
159 LO Andrew 79% 19% 2% - - -
160 BEITEL Noah 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
161 DEPEW Spencer 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
162 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 2%
163 MICHNA Colin P. 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
164 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
165 SU Landon 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
166 STURN Oliver 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
167 MCCARTHY Devan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
168 REN Richard 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
169 COLE Alexander - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
170 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
171 BYON Adrian 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
172 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
173 KORINTH Alexander J. 27% 45% 22% 5% - - -
174 ZENG Noah 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
175 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
176 REED Samuel J. 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
177 WU Wilmund 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
178 SAVOY Luca 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
179 BIRKS Evan D. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
180 KILGALLEN William 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
181 CHEONG Heonjae 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
182 YOU Jaden 12% 39% 36% 12% 2% -
183 MOULTON Ian 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
184 LE Hayden - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
184 ROE Finnegan 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
186 ELIN Adam E. 4% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
187 MOOREHEAD Patrick 4% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
188 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
189 RICHER Tyler 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
190 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
191 HAN Edward 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% - -
192 GLOZMAN Justin 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
193 JEFFRY Nicholas B. 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
194 MOL Spencer 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
195 LEITH Jack 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
195 DEKA Tanush 9% 36% 38% 15% 3% - -
197 LOPEZ Lucas M. 17% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
197 KALPATHY Rohit 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
199 WILKINSON James 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
200 MAY Griffin M. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
200 LO Andrew T. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
202 KROON Lucas 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
203 JAIN Aniket 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
204 KUMAR Sachit 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
205 CHEN Lohen 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
205 AKS Ari 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
207 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
208 CHAN Aidan 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
208 RAJAN Advait 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
210 VENU Ram 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
211 RAMANAN Govind 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
212 ZHUANG Rayken 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
213 KAUFMAN Wyatt J. 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
213 WALKE Devin 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
215 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
216 JORGESON Charlie 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
217 SMITH Malcolm 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
218 MURZYN III CJ 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
219 NOBLE Colin 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
220 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
221 EDELMAN Seth A. 23% 45% 26% 6% - -
222 FAYETTE Julien 77% 21% 2% - - - -
223 TASIKAS Stylianos 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
224 THORNHILL Kwasi 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
225 YOUSSEF David 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
226 MCCLUNG Gavin 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
227 PHILLIPS Pierson 22% 49% 23% 4% - - -
228 KROPP Derrick 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.