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Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

GRAFA RJCC/RYC - Third Coast Fencing Cup

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 DESERANNO Leander - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 SENIC Lucas - - - 1% 11% 62% 26%
3 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
5 KIM Daniel - - 8% 50% 37% 4%
6 KNIBBE Nathan - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
7 MASSIMINO Andrew - 7% 28% 40% 21% 4%
8 SLUSHER Gideon - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
9 RICHER Louis - - 2% 15% 48% 35%
10 GOGOI Kavi 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% -
11 TATE Linus 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
12 IANNI Renato 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
13 KUE Temujin 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
14 ZMUDA Aiden 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
15 GONZALEZ Rocky 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
16 MANGIONE Alexander 1% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
17 LINCOLN William 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
18 BASS Evan - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
19 BLUM Preston 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
20 TACK Everett 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
21 MORAN Finnegan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
22 WENGER Liam 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
23 KOLACKI Gabriel 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% -
24 SINGH Shaurya 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
25 COOK Grant 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
26 ZHANG Hanson 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
27 MAZAHERI Fletcher 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3% -
28 LARSON Vaughn 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
29 PAYNE Lynas 18% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
30 CHASE Crosby 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
31 NI Aaric 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
32 LINDSAY Justus 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
33 JOYCE Ryan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
34 ORKWIS Liam 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
35 ERICKSON Paulie 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
36 BANNICK Evan 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
37 CHILDRESS Aiden 54% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.