The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC/RCC/VET

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Sports Events Recreation Center - The SERC - Brockport, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 SONG Yuqiao Aprille - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
3 LEE Lavender - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
3 YANG Iris - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
5 CASCONE Emily - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 YURKOVA Mariia - - 1% 5% 26% 51% 17%
7 KAPUSTINA Arina - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
8 WANG SIQI - - 6% 28% 44% 22%
9 LIU Enjia sherry - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 7%
10 SHEN Emilia - - 5% 27% 45% 22%
11 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - 1% 14% 57% 25% 3%
12 PEVZNER Nicole - 1% 12% 38% 37% 11%
13 YANG Emma 1% 11% 36% 41% 11% -
14 WANG Sabrina - 1% 9% 29% 41% 18% 2%
15 SHIM Grace - 1% 7% 33% 52% 7%
16 HAO Danica 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 4% -
17 WANG CAROL 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
18 YU Jane 19% 46% 29% 5% - -
19 ORRINGER Lottie 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3% -
20 WANG DINA C. 5% 33% 48% 13% 1% -
21 SHENG Katherine 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
22 LIN Yunong 29% 49% 19% 3% - -
23 LI Beryl 17% 48% 30% 5% - -
24 WANG Amabel 9% 39% 39% 13% 1% -
25 DONG Iris - - 6% 32% 58% 4%
26 REZA Fukaina 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
27 MAJID Inaaya 3% 21% 45% 25% 5% -
28 FIELD Elizabeth - 3% 20% 45% 27% 4%
29 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 4% 26% 44% 23% 3% -
30 YU Eliza 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
31 LIU Caydence 4% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
32 DONG Angela 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
33 LI Savannah 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
34 ZHANG Zoey 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
35 LIU Jenna 51% 40% 8% - - -
36 LEONARD Danica C. 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
37 OLSON Ava 36% 47% 16% 2% - -
38 JIANG Chloe 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.