SAS D & Under Foil

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WU Alistair 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
2 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 NISTER Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 78% 36% 6%
3 TALASILA Arush 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
5 WATT Bobby 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
6 GUZ Anatoly 100% 96% 69% 25% 3%
7 BEAVER Hannah 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
8 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
9 INOUE Ken T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
10 RYON Mikol 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
11 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 98% 78% 22% 1%
12 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 78% 36% 9% 1%
13 BEAVER Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
14 BROCE Lilianna 100% 76% 35% 8% 1%
15 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
16 THOMSON Mitchell 100% 78% 22% 2% -
17 WEIL Harry 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
18 PIERSON Sophie 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
19 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 90% 49% 10% 1% -
20 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% -
21 HOLCOMB Emily 100% 88% 46% 10% 1%
22 AMMAR Sam 100% 43% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.