Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Max 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
2 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
3 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 SUN Jeffery 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
5 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
6 FENG du 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
7 CHU Brandon A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
8 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
9 HENRY Gevaughn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
11 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
12 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
13 WADE Grayson 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
14 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 88% 49% 16% 3% - -
15 KIM Dylan 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
16 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
17 WU Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
18 ROSS Matthew E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
19 GROOM Layne 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
20 WANG Max S 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% -
21 ZOU Xianyang 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
22 BENTAHA Averroes 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
23 BAMBRA Taranjot 100% 93% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
24 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
25 GARCIACABRERA Jeffrey 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
26 ZHANG Roland 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
27 MANITT Philip 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.