The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 11:15 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOBLE Colin - - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
2 FLOT Tai A. - - 1% 15% 58% 26%
3 HAN Daniel Y. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
3 PIWOWAR Alex - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
5 GOLD Carter - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
6 VILLARREAL Mateo - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 9%
7 POSY Daniel 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
8 WEBER Mattias A. - 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 2%
9 GOLD Jackson - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
10 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - - - 5% 38% 57%
11 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
12 RYAN Kai 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
13 KOVACH Jonah F. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
14 ONG Chinli 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
15 BROOK Joel 3% 21% 44% 29% 4% -
16 TANG Charles 1% 12% 42% 39% 6% -
17 SHELMIDINE Cole 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
18 KLEVA Logan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
19 WANG Jason 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
20 KAPOOR Tanmay 4% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
21 CUSUMANO Neal 5% 28% 45% 19% 3% - -
22 TROPE Aidan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
23 GIORDANO Nicholas 40% 45% 14% 1% - - -
23 BHATIA Ekam 21% 46% 27% 5% - - -
25 HUANG Maxwell H. 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
26 CHANTIS Nikolaos 6% 54% 34% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.