Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MEDVEDEV Michail D. V D D V D V V V V V V 2.8 3 +0.2
2 GREENE Cameron J. D V V V D D V V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
3 MICHELL Bailey V D V V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
3 VILLARREAL Mateo V D V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
5 YEN Preston D V D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
6 SHANAHAN Adam E. V V V D V D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
7 FLOT Tai A. V D D V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
8 CHEN Evan P. V V D D D V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
9 HAN Daniel Y. V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
10 MICLAUS Justin V V V V V D D 4.2 5 +0.8
11 KIM-COGAN Ryan V V V V V D D 4.5 5 +0.5
12 SHAHZAD Azlan A. D V D V V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
13 PIWOWAR Alex V D D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
14 LIU Mingyang Ryan D V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
15 WEBER Mattias A. D V V V V D D 1.9 4 +2.1
16 WONG Ryan D V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
17 FIELDS Matthew S. V D V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
18 VOSS Jeffer D V D V V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
19 CUSUMANO Neal D V D V D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
20 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. V D V D D D D 4.2 2 -2.2
21 ZHENG Edward L. V D D D V D 4.8 2 -2.8
22 KAPOOR Tanmay D V V D D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
23 BROOK Joel D D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
24 RYAN Kai V D D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
25 AGREDO Marcel D D D D V D D 0.7 1 +0.3
26 SHELMIDINE Cole D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
27 KLEVA Logan D D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
28 CHANTIS Nikolaos D D D D D D D 0.1 0 -0.1

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.