Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 2:30 PM

Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAHN Justin M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
2 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
3 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
5 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
6 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
7 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
8 SZEWCZYK Thomas D. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
9 PYATETSKY Shawn E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
10 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 20%
11 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
12 MAHONEY III Donal M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
13 GOSALIA Rishab 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
14 WALKER Robert Connor 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
15 TANG Albert 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
16 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
17 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
18 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
19 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
20 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
21 QIN Alexander 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
22 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
23 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
24 KURTZ Christopher S. 100% 91% 38% 7% 1% - -
25 MARTINEZ Justin 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
25 FAN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
27 REYES Kyle 100% 90% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
28 LIU Kelly 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
29 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
30 YUAN Kevin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
31 ROSEN Ben 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -
34 NOLTEMY Daniel J. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
35 GRAFF Jon 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.