Results of Y-12 Women's Foil - 5th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SUN Chloe	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	99%	84%
2	SWANSON Alexa	100%	100%	98%	86%	56%	18%
3	MANIKTALA Prisha	100%	100%	100%	99%	93%	58%
3	MENG Annabel	100%	95%	73%	37%	11%	1%
5	HSU Kaylin	100%	100%	95%	76%	41%	10%
6	SAIFEE Lamya	100%	98%	82%	41%	9%	1%
7	DENG Melissa	100%	98%	86%	56%	22%	4%
8	KANDL-ZHANG Lea	100%	100%	97%	78%	37%	5%
9	ZHANG Gwenyth	100%	100%	98%	85%	55%	18%	1%
10	KIM Sydney	100%	100%	98%	86%	55%	18%	1%
11	DESAI Esha	100%	95%	74%	40%	12%	2%
12	ZHANG Ivy	100%	93%	67%	31%	8%	1%
13	DUAN Sophie	100%	100%	95%	72%	30%	4%
14	REN Kayley	100%	99%	93%	69%	33%	7%
15	TAO Ann	100%	88%	55%	21%	5%	-
16	HAN Gian	100%	98%	83%	52%	19%	3%
17	LI Joy	100%	90%	59%	24%	5%	-	-
18	LEVESQUE Brielle	100%	99%	93%	71%	35%	8%
19	DENG Claire	100%	98%	86%	56%	21%	3%	-
20	MANIMTIM Rachel	100%	62%	19%	3%	-	-
21	SAIFEE Zahra	100%	90%	60%	25%	5%	-	-
22	MONAT Jennifer	100%	80%	32%	6%	-	-
23	PEDERSEN Haley	100%	94%	64%	23%	4%	-
24	SORIANO Mia	100%	96%	69%	29%	6%	-
25	UHLIG Natalie	100%	90%	59%	24%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

5th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation