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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ROCHA Alejandro - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 CAISSE Simon B. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
3 YANG Dylan 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
3 LI Yiwei 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
5 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 5% 23% 41% 28% 4%
6 LIM William J. - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
7 BRISTOL Brijen - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
8 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
9 NIETO Titus P. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
10 KROON Lucas - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
11 GIANETTO Ethan K. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
12 LEITH Jack 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
13 TAO Jeffrey 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
14 CHOW William T. 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
15 HO Aiden 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
16 TSAI Michael T. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
17 BAUER Hank E. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
18 WEINBERG Harry 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
19 GUO Ethan - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
20 KORINTH Alexander J. 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
21 KANG Evan 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
22 WONG James T. 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
23 AHN Matthew 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
24 GILSHTEYN Jacob 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
25 SARTORIS Trevor 9% 36% 40% 13% 1%
26 CHEN Lohen 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
27 GAO Marcus 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
28 DUDNICK Christian 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
29 CENTENO Zachary 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.