Mission SYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, April 29, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RAKHOVSKI Alexandra	-	-	-	3%	17%	43%	37%
2	SMUK Alexandra S.	-	-	2%	16%	42%	40%
3	FURMAN Maria	-	-	5%	27%	46%	21%
3	PROFIS Liora	-	5%	19%	37%	31%	8%
5	WITTER Catherine A.	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
6	MUELLER Emma M.	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
7	DEPOMMIER Isabelle	1%	9%	31%	38%	18%	3%
8	YOU Emily	-	-	3%	18%	43%	36%
9	KUMAR Eva	-	-	4%	21%	41%	28%	6%
10	SHU Youshan	-	-	1%	11%	34%	40%	13%
11	RICHARDSON Meredith	1%	9%	30%	38%	18%	3%	-
12	NIX Reagan	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	8%
13	NGUYEN Ashley L.	-	6%	25%	40%	24%	4%
14	PRESMAN Aerin	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
15	CHATIKHINE Anastasia	1%	11%	41%	36%	11%	1%
16	LEE Claire	1%	9%	30%	38%	20%	3%
17	LI Fei	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	11%
18	MONOVA Lilyana	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
19	BAWA Jenya	48%	43%	8%	1%	-	-
20	RAVI Ahisha	6%	33%	40%	18%	3%	-
21	FOUX Abigail	8%	33%	39%	17%	3%	-	-
22	REKEDA Anna	4%	24%	40%	25%	6%	1%
23	MISHIMA Audrey	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
24	PETROFF Gabrielle	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-
25	SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle	32%	45%	19%	4%	-	-
26	KOVALCHUK Erika S.	-	4%	24%	44%	25%	4%
27	SATO Elyse	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-	-
28	SHANKERDAS Shreeya	21%	44%	27%	7%	1%	-
29	BI Michelle	27%	53%	18%	2%	-	-
30	CUEVA Viola	4%	24%	41%	25%	6%	1%	-
31	GAVILANES Madyson	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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