The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Mission SYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Friday, April 29, 2022 at 12:45 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAI Zihou - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
2 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 4% 19% 41% 34%
3 KUSHKOV Michael - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
3 KUMAR Avinash - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
5 MERMEGAS Alexander - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
6 BAI Evan - 2% 15% 41% 36% 6%
7 CHANG Timothy 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 ISAYENKO Daniel - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
9 CROOKS Andrew - 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
10 SO Dylan 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
11 BEAL Colton - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
12 MARTINSON Torm 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
13 ZHAO Royce - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
14 SO Morgan 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
15 TAYCHER Aaron - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
16 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
17 VIDREVICH David - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
18 SONG Aidan 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
19 AVERY Marcus 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
20 LUCAS William - 1% 7% 30% 45% 17%
21 FRANCOIS Gabriel 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
22 MALEK Zak - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
23 SUN Stephen 2% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
24 XIONG Alvin 16% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
25 CHAVAN Aditya 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
26 WEI Hunter 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
27 SO Peyton 37% 43% 16% 3% - -
28 DATTILIO Aidan 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
29 STOLCKE Julian 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
30 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
31 CHAN Ewan 67% 28% 5% - - - -
31 DANIELS William 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.