Mission SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 30, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	-	-	-	6%	94%
2	YANG Iris	-	-	-	-	1%	20%	78%
3	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	-	-	2%	26%	53%	19%
3	KUMAMOTO Shino	-	-	-	3%	21%	55%	21%
5	YANG Emma	-	-	1%	6%	28%	56%	10%
6	CASCONE Emily	-	-	-	1%	23%	75%
7	CHEN Renee	-	-	-	-	1%	21%	77%
8	HAO Danica	-	-	4%	23%	44%	28%	1%
9	SHIM Grace	-	-	-	4%	30%	66%
10	PAULUS Sloane	-	-	1%	11%	39%	44%	6%
11	YURKOVA Mariia	-	-	-	7%	40%	53%
12	FENG Grace	-	-	4%	28%	56%	12%
13	SHEN Emilia	-	-	2%	14%	40%	44%
14	NISSINOFF Alexandra	-	-	-	-	5%	37%	58%
15	YU Jane	-	2%	14%	39%	35%	10%	-
16	HAFEZ Tahiyah	-	2%	14%	39%	39%	7%
17	WANG Sunny	1%	10%	30%	38%	19%	3%
18	BERGEL Daphne	-	4%	19%	40%	31%	6%	-
19	WANG Amabel	-	6%	30%	43%	19%	2%
20	ORRINGER Lottie	-	-	6%	27%	45%	20%	1%
21	WANG CAROL	-	1%	8%	31%	41%	17%	-
22	LI Han	1%	7%	26%	38%	23%	4%
23	BADLANI Diya	2%	15%	40%	34%	10%	1%
24	WANG Joanna	11%	43%	40%	6%	-	-
25	BING Charlotte	5%	26%	40%	24%	5%	-	-
26	DIMATULAC Elise Ann	15%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
27	WANG DINA C.	-	4%	27%	44%	21%	3%	-
28	MAJID Inaaya	2%	14%	33%	34%	15%	2%
29	KAPRAN Anastasia	-	1%	9%	50%	35%	6%
30	PEDERSEN Clara	1%	12%	40%	38%	8%	-
31	WANG Jolie Z.	1%	7%	27%	40%	22%	3%	-
32	LI Savannah	6%	24%	37%	26%	7%	1%	-
33	ZELDIN Nadia	1%	11%	42%	39%	8%	-
34	FEDER Acadia	2%	14%	33%	34%	15%	2%	-
35	ZHANG Constance	1%	10%	39%	38%	12%	1%	-
36	ZHANG Zoey	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%	-
37	CHEN Sophie	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-	-
38	LI Xiang	26%	52%	20%	2%	-	-
39	SHANG Arianna	17%	47%	29%	7%	1%	-
40	HAFEZ Sahar	23%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-
41	CAVANAGH Emma	17%	48%	32%	3%	-	-
42	YIN Chloe	45%	43%	11%	1%	-	-
43	VOROS Madeleine	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%	-
44	LIN Yunong	5%	28%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
45	JIN Sophie	16%	47%	30%	6%	1%	-	-
45	BRADSHAW Tamira	37%	43%	17%	3%	-	-	-
47	KING Nevaeh	35%	48%	15%	2%	-	-	-
48	JANSSEN Juliane	17%	40%	31%	11%	2%	-
49	SELBY GILBERT Sianna	50%	40%	9%	1%	-	-
50	WANG Selina	40%	49%	10%	1%	-	-	-
51	BO Iris	46%	43%	11%	-	-	-
52	DINAR Julia	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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