Mission SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
2 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
3 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
5 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
6 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
7 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
8 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
9 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 14%
10 HOU Gaven 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
11 GERRISH William 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
11 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
14 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
15 ZENG Rick 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
17 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
18 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
19 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 2%
20 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
21 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
22 CHEN Ethan 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
23 LIU ERIC 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
24 SION Andrew 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
25 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
26 REN Ryan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
27 XU Nathan 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3% -
28 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
29 ZHANG Lucas 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
30 WANG Rory 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
31 TOOMRE Kai 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
32 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
33 XIE Jicheng 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
34 HONG Logan 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
35 HUANG Jinyao 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
36 JOHN Meru 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
37 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
38 JIANG Oscar 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
39 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
40 TANG Royce 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1%
41 ZHAO Ryan 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
42 KO Caleb 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
43 REYES Yannik 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
44 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
45 WONG Jacob W. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
46 ZHANG Zijie 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
47 MO Ethan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
48 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
49 WANG Ralph 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
50 LUCAS Elliot 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
50 QIAN Zekai 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
52 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.