W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
3 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
3 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
5 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
6 LE Tan 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
7 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
8 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
9 JOYNER Brian 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
10 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 5%
11 BOYLAN Nickolas 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
12 WHITE Myles 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
13 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 80% 37% 7% -
14 TANG Justin 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
15 RUBAN Misha 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
16 SONVICO Jeremy 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
17 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5%
18 PAN Colin 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
19 GOLART Alexis A. 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
20 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
21 ZALEWSKI David 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
22 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
23 HERMES Henry 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
24 MARTIN Garrett 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
25 ANDERSON Alena 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
26 GREEAR Colin 100% 82% 31% 6% - -
27 NASH Liam 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
28 DICKENS Thomas 100% 99% 75% 30% 5% -
29 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
30 REN Yunyan (Tina) 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.