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Integrity Cup RYC & ROC (DV2)

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, May 21, 2022 at 12:00 PM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BEVACQUA Aria F.	-	-	-	1%	10%	37%	52%
2	TSUI Natalie	-	-	5%	24%	43%	27%
3	MARYASH Samantha	-	2%	10%	29%	39%	20%
3	LIU Yifei	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	17%	2%
5	SO Catelyn	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	26%
6	NATH Trisha	-	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	25%
7	YOUNG Audrey	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
8	YOUNG Charlotte G.	1%	6%	23%	37%	27%	7%
9	NAYAK Esha	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
10	MUND Ruth	1%	6%	23%	36%	27%	7%
11	ZHANG Sophie	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
12	GUVEN Coco	1%	14%	38%	33%	12%	1%
13	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	2%	12%	34%	38%	14%
14	ZENG Sarah	1%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
15	HUCHWAJDA Pola	2%	14%	32%	33%	16%	3%
16	HAMBAZAZA Liisa	-	1%	8%	25%	38%	24%	4%
17	ZHENG Valentina	1%	8%	28%	36%	21%	5%	-
18	FLATT Sophia	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	12%
19	FEIG Sela	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	20%
20	DAI Olivia	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
21	CHIANG Melissa	1%	12%	35%	36%	15%	2%
22	HU Anna	1%	11%	31%	34%	18%	4%	-
23	ZHENG Sophia	24%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
24	CHOU Zoe	1%	9%	27%	36%	21%	5%	-
25	HUANG Rachael	-	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%
26	SPEARS Mya B	-	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
27	LOURENCO Alexandra	6%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%
28	BAIREDDY Maya	11%	43%	34%	11%	2%	-
29	HE Lizbeth	-	5%	22%	40%	27%	6%
30	GUGALA Hanna	6%	25%	36%	24%	7%	1%
31	DAMBAL Sasha	-	9%	31%	38%	18%	3%
32	LOO Kaitlyn	-	7%	28%	39%	22%	4%
33	BUSH Bethany	4%	20%	36%	28%	10%	1%
34	LI Alexis	2%	27%	41%	24%	6%	1%
35	PROBASCO Leila	9%	40%	36%	13%	2%	-
36	KHOST Maeve	8%	33%	37%	18%	4%	-	-
37	LIM Alexa J.	22%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
38	BERNSTEIN Avery	23%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
39	NAYAK Antara	80%	19%	2%	-	-	-
40	CHO Kaeli M.	60%	34%	6%	-	-	-
41	BERRIOS Catalina	4%	19%	36%	29%	11%	1%
42	BAINS Nandini	48%	39%	11%	2%	-	-	-
43	KAPLAN Gabriela	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
44	BAIK Madeline	62%	33%	5%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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