Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MOHAMED Murad | V V D V V | V V V V | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 2 | STANLEY Mason B. | V D V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 3 | KNIZHNIK David | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 3 | ZHANG Aaron | V V V D | V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | SHEPHERD Conner M. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | MOHAMED Amir | V V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 7 | LYU Victor | V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | CHOI JIAN | V D D V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 9 | ORLOV Dmitriy | V V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 10 | TIAN Aaron C. | V V D V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 11 | PAN Henry | D V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 12 | KOBAL Maximilian | D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 13 | KIM Minhyeok | D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 14 | SZEGO Bence P. | D D V V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 15 | LEE Eugene | D D V D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 16 | ALONSO Vinicius | V V D D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 17 | BARRETT Austin | D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 18 | JOHN AYI Neville Pascal | D D D D V | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 19 | BONSTEEL Max K. | D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 19 | SONG Noel | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 21 | JIANG Yehong | D V D D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 22 | CHIN Ryan | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 23 | TSAI Caleb | D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.