Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 DECK Tyson 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
3 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
5 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
6 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
7 ANAND Rohan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
8 FANG Eason 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
9 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
11 VAID Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
12 TANG Shu Hon 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
13 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
14 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
15 ZHOU James Y. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
16 WANG daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
17 HALL Noah 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
18 WANG Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
19 YAN William 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
20 LIN Felix 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
21 HO Jacob 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
22 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
23 SO Preston 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
24 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
25 STORER Julian 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
26 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
27 WANG Max 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
28 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
29 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
30 NG Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
31 OH Aster 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
32 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
33 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
34 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
35 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
36 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
37 KIM Minhyeok 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
38 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
39 PORTER Dupree 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
40 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
41 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
42 MCCONNELL Quinlan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
43 PINKNEY Derek A. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
44 CARD Seamus 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
45 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
46 GUREVICH Savely 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
47 HU Andrew 100% 92% 56% 20% 4% - -
48 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
49 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 24% 2% - - - -
50 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
51 PINTO Marcus 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
52 REHM Liam 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
53 PARCELL Colby 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
54 LEE Thomas 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.